Demographer. Asst Prof @UTAustin.
Joined November 2017
- Tweets 391
- Following 225
- Followers 350
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8 Photos and videos
Pinned Tweet
3 Oct 2024
New paper (w/ @dennisfeehan) on 'new' data sources for demographic research and the shared cross-cutting methodological challenges they present:
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/…
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May 15
My new article on the “Pig in the Python” argues that the demand for young workers will grow dramatically over the coming decades, likely leading to rising wages, stronger unions, and lower inequality. 1/28
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May 14
Here is some small-N evidence from Princeton that PhD student research matters in the form of a news post reporting that two recent PhD graduates published part of their dissertations in the field’s top journal (ok self-serving b/c one is me 🙂): csdp.princeton.edu/news/rece…
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May 13
Academia in a nutshell:
We are status-seeking chimps searching for status through a tiny number of journals. This is not particularly healthy nor efficient.
May 13
At the end of the day, every human being is just a status-seeking chimpanzee. And we are status-seeking chimpanzees where a main thing that gives us status and validation has amazing diminishing marginal returns and a weird discontinuity at the "top 5"
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Apr 15
New in PDR! Happy to see this one out. (Joint w/ @n_seltzer)
Structured Inequality, Uncertain Lifespans: Demographic Perspectives on Predicting Individual-Level Longevity
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/…
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Mar 5
4/ Academics hold AI to absurd double standards. We criticize AI hallucinations while tolerating p-hacking, non-replicable findings, and data errors in peer-reviewed work. Very few published papers are genuinely useful. AI is held to a standard we never applied to ourselves.
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I use em-dashes and colons all the time, sigh. AI is stealing our best punctuation marks. Who can we sue?
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Today's DUPRI seminar features Jennifer Montez, Professor of Sociology & Director of the Center for Aging and Policy Studies at Syracuse University. She is presenting "Why have mortality rates become increasingly unequal across U.S. counties?"
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Feb 2
Anyone still on here? I'm hiring a second postdoc to work on my MaMo project... 2 years, start flexible in the next 12 months.
Formal call out shortly, email me to know when the listing goes live.
16 Sep 2024
Excited to launch my @ERC_Research Starting Grant at @UCL!
I will hire Predoc/RAs starting early 2025 and a PhD Student Postdoc starting Autumn 2025.
Experience with admin data, linked employer-employee data, causal inference are a plus.
Sounds like you? Get in touch!
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22 Dec 2025
Just out in @ReadDemography: We leverage variation in applications to ICE 287(g) agreements 2000-2020 to show that #deportations and immigration enforcement is causally linked to increases in Latino-White segregation.
OPEN ACCESS PDF
doi.org/10.1215/00703370-123…
22 Dec 2025
“Deportations & Latino Segregation”: @fertmortmig J. Rugh & @hliaang show how 287(g) enforcement slowed drops in local segregation by a third, esp. in New South states, entrenching “patterns of residential stratification & inequality.” read.dukeupress.edu/demograp…
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Casey Breen retweeted
Jan 11
Remember people, school name doesn’t matter at all and the tech industry doesn’t care about school prestige.
This is genuinely pretty incredible. Tshinghua and Peking U are the only foreign universities on this list.
Source: @rohanpaul_ai
Community note
University of Waterloo is located in Ontario, Canada
uwaterloo.ca
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Casey Breen retweeted
18 Dec 2025
Need some holiday reading? Want to know how to estimate extreme weather impacts on demographic outcomes when data IV and O are at different spatial scales?
My latest with Nick and Gerard in @ReadDemography
read.dukeupress.edu/demograp…
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Casey Breen retweeted
10 Dec 2025
Causality and prediction are not two distinct concepts
Causal inference is fundamentally a prediction problem: you’re predicting the counterfactual
Randomistas found a few clever ways to do causality without prediction. But if you solve prediction; you get causality for free
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I am extremely happy to share. Just out in @pnas.org:
“Global subnational estimates of migration of scientists reveal large disparities in internal and international flows”
Open Access: doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2424521…
w/ @danko_maciej @XinyiZhao16 @ezagheni @MPIDRnews #PAA2025
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Casey Breen retweeted
10 Mar 2025
Loved working with @NicoleKapelle on this one! Check out our latest in @JofHSB
10 Mar 2025
🚨New paper!🚨
Thrilled to share my latest work with the amazing @Andrea_Tilstra! We examine how 🚬 & 🍷 behaviours change around separation & divorce💔—with some surprising findings, especially for women.
Read more in @JofHSB: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.… @TCDsociology @OxfordDemSci
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13 Feb 2025
Looking forward to visiting @PennPSC next week!
MONDAY's Population Studies Colloquium
Join us 2/17 at noon in the PSC Commons as @joelabriola of @UM_SRC discusses
The Mortgage Interest Deduction and the White-Black Wealth Gap, 1984-2021
bit.ly/419SlVv
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5 Feb 2025
👀New work out today in @ReadDemography!
5 Feb 2025
“Flooding, Sociospatial Risk & Population Health”: @ethanraker incorporates local health survey, floodplain & inundation data to show “how sociospatial determinations of risk shape postdisaster mental health outcomes by stratifying" resources & responses. ow.ly/QxSm50UUiwh
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Casey Breen retweeted
9 Dec 2024
Two weeks left to apply
31 Oct 2024
Job klaxon: We're hiring an Associate Professor in Sociology at @UCLSocRes. Position is open to any applied field, deadline 20 December. I'm chairing this search.
ucl.ac.uk/work-at-ucl/search…
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Casey Breen retweeted
8 Dec 2024
The good idea comes when one person feels comfortable enough to say something that might make them look stupid and their friend is open enough to recognize its potential.
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