nothing (n)ever happens || 22 || some connection to: πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¨πŸ‡­πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί (in that order)

Joined January 2025
523 Photos and videos
Emil πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸŒ retweeted
it's not lack of compute that's the issze. it's that in Europe, it's unthinkable to pay a guy in his mid 20s $600k salary and give him resources and freedom to train models without having oversight by a committee of gerontocratic professorswho don't keep up with the research
Btw I believe we have a mostly wrong framing of what could be done in Europe. Italy's Leonardo supercomputer datacenter alone plus Swiss National Supercomputing Centre has more than enough compute to train a very large LLM. It's not something impossible, also there is not magic recipe: it's just scaling, every smart team with the GPUs is doing it. People that fatally believe it is not something within reach are wrong.
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Emil πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸŒ retweeted
In the 20th century, European leftists promised that their ideology would make regular people richer. That didn't happen. So in the 21st century, the pitch has shifted to: "Actually, we'll make you poorer...which is good, because you deserve to be poor." noahpinion.blog/p/degrowth-w…
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Emil πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸŒ retweeted
Growth is not a strategy. Growth is what happens when free people are left alone to pursue their desires, constrained by respect for others property and liberty. I don’t live to fulfill some dreamers coercive β€œstrategy”
Six famous economists β€” @JosephEStiglitz , @PikettyWIL , @jasonhickel among them β€” published a manifesto in the @guardian last week: "growth is a doomed strategy." They say they've done the maths. I checked the maths. The claim that growth failed the poor is contradicted by the most uncontroversial dataset in economics: extreme poverty fell from 44% of humanity in 1981 to under 10% today β€” during the very decades they call a failure. China alone lifted 800 million people, not with a UN roadmap, but with growth. The "92% of excess emissions" statistic? It's one of the authors citing his own paper, without saying so β€” and it's not a measurement, it's a moral allocation dressed up as data. The policy toolkit β€” "public control of strategic assets," "credit guidance" β€” has a track record: Soviet collectivization, the Great Leap Forward, Venezuela, and Sri Lanka's 2021 fertilizer ban, which starved the poor it claimed to serve within eighteen months. What worries me most: degrowth is being marketed to young people who feel locked out β€” telling them their stagnation is virtue. It's a swindle. The young aren't victims of too much growth. They are the first victims of its absence. Growth is the only anti-poverty program that has ever worked.
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Emil πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸŒ retweeted
Amazon is a fantastic litmus test because it’s the single clearest example in existence of a capitalist doing an incredible and immense service to humanity and leftists still invent bunk reasons to hate it.
No billionaire actually built a billion dollar company through hard work. Apple’s cofounder said the garage story is a myth. Bezos got a $300k investment from his parents. Google’s founders were Stanford grads with access to venture capital. Stop promoting the bootstrap ideology.
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Emil πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸŒ retweeted
Jun 12
Rent control is the belief by a non-owner that they should have the right to a property owner’s apartment! This is a stunningly unaware inversion of reality!
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Emil πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸŒ retweeted
This is the problem in europe, there is no incentive to get rich, at every single point they try to stop you, zero encouragement, and thus its no wonder no innovation is happening here We are a dead continent living on our past
If I were to move form Austria, I would need to pay a 27% exit tax (as it I sold all my assets before moving) If I had to live from Switzerland, I’d pay 0 For the US - also 0 for profits up to $910,000 It really doesn’t pay to be active and become rich in the EU (unless you are born rich ofc, we love those guys here)
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Emil πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸŒ retweeted
Prediction: future historians will look back on the degrowth movement as this century’s equivalent of the pacifist movements of the 20th century: driven by naΓ―ve moral signalling, fashionable in elite circles, and dangerously undermining freedom, democracy and human progress.
I don't know what Piketty, Stiglitz, and co. are smoking. Global poverty rates have never been lower. Progress on basic global health and wellbeing measures has been amazing over the past few decades. "End of the road"?!? Come again!?! theguardian.com/commentisfre…
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Emil πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸŒ retweeted
Keynesianism used to mean building Autobahns and electrifying the Tennessee valley. Now it means giving grannies more money to spend at Costa
Replying to @thomasforth
But wouldn't giving pensions to women under 65 again increase the purchasing power in the economy? Evidence also shows that many older people denied state pension require welfare benefits in any case.
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Emil πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸŒ retweeted
It's funny that the people saying European living standards have remained comparable to US ones are in the US (Krugman, Dube), while those saying the opposite are in Europe (Garicano, Aghion, Bergeaud). European social democracy is a romantic ideal to the American left. They don't want to admit it's failing. Unfortunately, if you live here, you can't help but notice the cracks, even through rose tinted glasses.
Folks, there is no debate. EU standard of living relative to US has been the same for decades. That's what PPP measures. It would be good for @lugaricano and his coauthors to be clear about this. If you want high productivity growth, you should make an argument why it matters over and beyond consumer surplus. Punto final.
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Emil πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸŒ retweeted
The evolution of hours worked from 1970 to today in the United States, Germany, and Switzerland. The data confirm my personal experience. I am fairly sure that Europeans, including the Swiss, do not fully realize how much less they work compared with Americans. For what it's worth, I have lost count of the number of public holidays that can be combined with vacation days to create entire weeks off over the past year, something I never experienced in the United States, where it is essentially impossible by design. Beyond that, in my experience, work organization, workplace culture, and animal spirits are often not comparable. Will we be able to change Europe?
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Emil πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸŒ retweeted
Germany is having the same leadership convulsions as Britain. I fear this is more about the graph on the right than the man on the left. Western democracies cannot survive economic stagnation. It inevitably leads to political instability and a carousel of leadership.
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Emil πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸŒ retweeted
People confuse "affordability" with simply being poor. If your economy has stagnated for years, things didn't magically become unaffordable, you and your country just became poorer.
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Emil πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸŒ retweeted
In this era of retarded left populism American congressional gridlock is a huge advantage
The Australian government unilaterally deciding to confiscate 47% of the capital gains of every business person in the country has radicalised me, yes x.com/MarkDiStef/status/2059…
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Emil πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸŒ retweeted
I'm sorry, if you had pitched "Donald Trump will get Milli Vanilli to play in honor of America's 250th birthday" as a joke on Weekend Update they would have laughed you out of the room.
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Emil πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸŒ retweeted
I kind of think if you're gonna take a "no the economists and professionals are wrong" you don't get to use the economist's lingo. Recession is a technical term. Find your own word and demonstrate the concept's robustness because we're literally not in a recession.
Replying to @LinkofSunshine
i mean yeah we’re probably in another great recession based on all indicators of the economy and consumer sentiment
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In future decades economists will write about an "upper income trap," wherein most wealthy economies stop growing due to bureaucratic dysfunction, service sector cost disease, social unrest from a highly educated populace, rent seeking, and anti-industrial sentiment.
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Emil πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸŒ retweeted
God bless private equity for liberating American capital from lousy, failing businesses being run into the ground by incompetent management.
How private equity gutted local malls: Joann Fabrics, Red Lobster, Claire's, and more.
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Emil πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸŒ retweeted
Germany is debating raising the retirement age to 70. Experts blame rising life expectancy. Politicians blame each other. Almost nobody says the obvious: There aren’t enough children to pay for the pensions. 🧡
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Emil πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸŒ retweeted
It never even occurs to people that "work is overtaxed" could lead one to believe "work should be taxed less." The only conclusion people seem to discover is "we should tax everything else more."
Wes Streeting has this morning set out his tax plans - specifically bringing capital gains tax into line with income tax He says that the current system is unfair because it penalises work Higher or additional rate taxpayers will pay 24% on gains in the current financial year. Streeting said that the rates should mirror income tax bands - so 40% for higher rate taxpayers and 45% for additional rate taxpayers He says that the approach could raise Β£12billion a year Streeting said: β€œA member of my family is a cleaner in Lancashire. She pays a higher tax rate on her salary than her landlord pays for the growing value of the home she lives in. She slogs her guts out, he puts in far less effort, yet the state rewards him more than her. And we wonder why people are angry. β€œThe system is penalising work. It’s not fair and it’s bad for our economy. We need a wealth tax that works. A pound made from simply owning assets should not be taxed less than a pound made from a hard day's work. We can do it in a way that is pro-growth, pro-entrepreneur and pro-work.”
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