Secularism promised progress but here we are having to go all the way to the Supreme Court to argue that being a women isn't merely a feeling, nor should we allow the amputation & mutilation of physically healthy children by anyone.

Let’s talk when your "if" takes place, so far it’s not and didn’t. Happy to be proven wrong but so far, things are not going as the regime wants it to. They lost their missiles stockpiles, tried to have a regional war, even China is no longer buying Iranian oil, and the "deal" is a ceasefire extension with no lift of sanctions already imposed.

Those watching the ceasefire negotiations and concluding that the conflict is winding down are misreading the situation, because while the strikes have paused, Operation Economic Fury continues to function as both the accelerator and the anchor of what the military phase set in motion, converting battlefield destruction into institutional deterioration that compounds over time and denies the IRGC the fiscal and organizational capacity to reconstitute what Epic Fury dismantled. The IRGC likes to boast about its immunity to external pressure, but the economic situation reveals an organization that is disoriented, operating a model so rigid and so dependent on conditions that no longer exist that it has no productive response to the pressure now bearing down on it. open.substack.com/pub/zinebr…

Absolute morons all of you are stupid. Good for Trump for seeing through your lies and idiocy It will take *months* for Iran to get port traffic to half prewar levels.

BREAKING: US oil prices crash below $81/barrel after Pakistan announces that the US and Iran have reached a peace deal.

Well there it is. Don’t love removing the blockade so fast. What did they give up?

Yes I noticed this as well. I suspect it’s more legal than anything else right now but we’ll see if this lasts.

How… how did she not notice that she wasn’t clipped in before getting lifted?? 🫢🫢🫢

Marco Rubio finding out he has to be the CEO of Anthropic after it gets nationalized

1. if transacting with superintelligent models outside of the boundaries of a lab becomes difficult due to national security / ai safety concerns and so on, it will mean the Coasean boundaries of the labs will grow to encompass all interesting industry, creating a truly cyberpunk chaebol-capitalism type of future, where the goverment sort of runs them but they also sort of run the government 2. as if there weren't already enough reasons to break up your family, leave your home, the Zone of Thought will increase the attractiveness of migrating to try and have your child on american soil, so they can have 1000x the effective brain power of people born elsewhere 3. every country should probably try and either work towards a new ai security pact with the americans immediately or pool every ounce of national resources to try and create their own ASI labs lest you become complete intellectual, economic, and moral vassals to the united states of america and the output byproducts its ASIs (you wont even get to talk to them). if they succeeded (big if) this will imply a more global race and more risk factors than was previously implied by the formerly only "beating china" narrative -- but many will prefer it to the superintelligent monopolar value lock-in 4. the other alternative is to keep the tension between safety and concentration of power at the top of mind and for the government/labs to push for solving it, rather than instrumentalizing all other values to be subservient to minimizing ai harms. insofar as safety means defending properties of the fragile world we like, the diffuse nature of power is one of those properties 5. historically the americans have been really quite Benign about their global public goods hegemony despite the ability to extract significantly more rents than they do, and it makes it easy for people of all stripes to fight for america rather than under it. we probably don't have to, but i hope america overall works towards export promotion of american models rather than export control

This order would flunk every part of an administrative law exam. There’s no standing. Plaintiffs have no cause of action. The matter is clearly committed to agency discretion by law. The judge is substituting her own judgment for that of agency. It’s pure lawlessness—and an indication why, properly understood, the APA does not authorize individual district judges to afford nationwide relief.

This would be an epic mistake by SK if they did this lol. We are 20% of their export market, they’re 3% of ours. Absolutely incredible economic pain would await them. And this is all before we even look at their geopolitical security problems without us.

Buh bye Fable 5 (for now)

The Trump administration has placed Anthropic's Mythos 5 and Fable 5 under export controls. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick sent a letter to Dario Amodei tonight stating that foreign governments, companies, and individuals will no longer have access to either model.

It has arrived. Whoa indeed.

i feel very obligated to let all the nerds know that there is a free game like geoguesser where you guess the location of origin and time period for art and historical artifacts. really high level:

"Iran will receive economic rewards only if it complies" "Iran receives nothing upon signing" All the 🌮 fanatics fuming rn

No replication crisis here. In the last two years, each Ivy League school has independently discovered that standardized tests predict success in college: 1. Dartmouth (Feb 5, 2024): “Several key findings guided our decision: First, standardized test scores are an important predictor of a student's success in Dartmouth's curriculum, and this is true regardless of a student's background or family income.” “Research shows that standardized test scores can be an important predictor of academic success at a place like Dartmouth and beyond—more so even than just grades or recommendations, for example.” 2. Yale (Feb 22, 2024): “Yale’s research from before and after the pandemic has consistently demonstrated that, among all application components, test scores are the single greatest predictor of a student’s future Yale grades. This is true even after controlling for family income and other demographic variables, and it is true for subject-based exams such as AP and IB, in addition to the ACT and SAT.” 3. Brown (March 5, 2024): “Our analysis made clear that SAT and ACT scores are among the key indicators that help predict a student’s ability to succeed and thrive in Brown’s demanding academic environment.” 4. Harvard (April 11, 2024): “Research by Opportunity Insights has shown that SAT and ACT scores are the single strongest predictors of academic success at selective colleges like Harvard... Standardized tests provide a common benchmark that can help us evaluate applicants’ readiness for the academic challenges at Harvard in a way that is more fair and equitable than high school grades alone.” 5. Cornell (April 22, 2024): “After a multi-year study conducted by the university’s Task Force on Standardized Testing in Admissions, data showed that when reviewed in context with other application materials—such as GPA, academic rigor, extracurricular engagement, essays, and letters of recommendation—test scores help to create a more complete picture of an individual applicant.” 6. Penn (Feb 14, 2025): “Penn’s practice has been, and continues to be, considering a student’s school-based academic record on its own merit, with testing as part of Admission’s broad and comprehensive assessment. With this approach, testing complements a student’s existing accomplishments and can offer additional relevant information in our comprehensive and holistic admission process.” 7. Princeton (Oct 9, 2025): “The decision to resume testing requirements follows a review of five years of data from the test-optional period, which found that academic performance at Princeton was stronger for students who chose to submit test scores than for students who did not.” 8. Columbia (June 11, 2026): “Through a multi-year faculty review, it was determined that test scores, among other factors, were a useful indicator of potential student success.”

From Fabio to Flabio.

There seems to be more smoke than usual. Perhaps Iran has come to their senses finally.

I wonder what happened around 2012...