The Imperative of a Two-State Solution in an Era of Multipolar Transformation I commend Faisal Abbas for highlighting that sustainable peace in the Middle East remains achievable, provided Israel commits to a genuine two-state solution. The current geopolitical landscape underscores this urgency. As American unipolar dominance recedes, evidenced by the strategic challenges in confronting Iran, the region is transitioning toward multipolarity. Robert Kagan’s analysis in The Atlantic illustrates how prolonged conflicts expose the limits of conventional military hegemony, with irreversible repercussions including Iranian influence over the Strait of Hormuz, strengthened alliances between Iran, China, and Russia, and diminished U.S. credibility. These shifts compel all parties, particularly Israel, to recalibrate. Continued occupation and settlement expansion risk further isolating Israel strategically, while empowering adversarial axes. True stability demands recognition of #PalestinianStatehood, including viable borders, security guarantees, and addressing refugee rights through return and compensation mechanisms. In the context of evolving #SaudiAmericanRelations and broader Arab transformations, a #TwoState framework could evolve into a stable #IsraelPalestineJordanConfederation, fostering economic integration and collective security. 
Peace is not a concession to weakness, but a strategic necessity for survival in the emerging #MultipolarOrder. History favors those who adapt. #TwoStateSolution @arabnews @FaisalJAbbas

Credit The New World Order @multipolarorder

#PutinInIndia #GlobalSouth #multipolarorder “URA” 🇷🇺 @KremlinRussia_E 🫡 @narendramodi “Bharat Mata ki Jai” 🇮🇳🚩

📌Eastern Bloc Ascendant: China–Russia Bloc Sets the Pace China and Russia are now driving the global shift toward a post-Western order. Their partnership has matured into a coordinated strategic engine linking energy, technology, finance, and security into a unified Eastern power structure. Thirty-plus Xi–Putin agreements anchor joint development through 2030, merging China’s industrial scale with Russia’s resource depth. BRICS expansion amplifies their influence across Eurasia, Africa, and Latin America, where states increasingly choose Eastern stability over Western decline. The West, fractured by internal crises and strategic overreach, can no longer contain this alignment. Parallel financial systems, de-dollarized trade, and independent security frameworks are eroding US/EU leverage. Beijing and Moscow now set the tempo of global realignment—confident, methodical, and increasingly dominant. Full 150-word report: open.substack.com/pub/theopi… #EasternRise #ChinaRussiaAlliance #MultipolarOrder

Indeed!

Quite interesting. The issue is widely (et pour cause) neglected in the MSM.

China and Russia’s bilateral relations are a long way from the border fighting of 1969 that conditioned the US rapprochement with China in 1972. Read Geraint Hughes and Zeno Leoni's (@MultipolarOrder) analysis: go.iiss.org/3K0o3id

@BoccardoReal @mtconti62 @info_tornato @MultipolarOrder @Amarizona17 @AristidesHatzis @Nonicoc

Grazie, caro professore.🤗

@Dan_Jaukovic192 @LyddonConsult @MarcoCantamessa @ngiocoli @AristidesHatzis @davidstadelmann @PVDBYL @gjandieri @schnellenbachj @42NAdvisors @Nonicoc @miriamberzi @monni43511357 @vanabeau @MultipolarOrder

@davidstadelmann @momtchil_ivanov @MultipolarOrder @KarstenMause @AndGodlewski @dlacalle_IA @CarovonMX @Nonicoc @ozlemcaglar @EvangelopoulosP @gjandieri @amingardi

⭕️ The #SCOSummit2025 in #Tianjin marks a calculated attempt by #China to place itself at the center of Eurasian politics. By bringing together #Putin, #Modi and 20 leaders, #XiJinping projects the image of a “#GlobalSouth unity” that challenges Western-led institutions. Yet, the narrative of a #MultipolarOrder is deeply paradoxical: — It conceals power asymmetries inside the SCO, where #Beijing 🇨🇳 and #Moscow 🇷🇺 dominate. — It presents “sovereignty” and “non-interference” as guiding principles, even while members face border conflicts and internal rivalries. — It signals a counterweight to @NATO and the transatlantic alliance, but struggles with divergent economic and security interests among participants. 🔺For #XiJinping, this is not only about geopolitics but about legitimacy: positioning #China as architect of an alternative model of governance, rooted in #Eurasian institutions rather than #Western liberal norms. 🔺For #Putin, the summit provides rare diplomatic capital amid war fatigue and sanctions. 🔺For #NarendaModi, it reflects the delicate balance between strategic autonomy and growing frictions with the West. The #tianjinsummit thus embodies both the promise and fragility of multipolarity: a discourse of equality masking the reality of asymmetry, and a coalition whose cohesion is tested by overlapping ambitions and unresolved disputes.

As defence spending rises under #AUKUS, the revolving door raises concerns. Dr Sarah Tzinieris and @MultipolarOrder suggest projects like submarine shipbuilding can trigger powerful organisational & bureaucratic forces shaping long-term strategy. Read: bit.ly/4oCPTAU

📄To understand more about the implications of AUKUS on global security, read the paper by Dr Sarah Tzinieris and Dr Zeno Leoni @MultipolarOrder here: bit.ly/413kopm

As defence spending rises under #AUKUS, the revolving door raises concerns. Dr Sarah Tzinieris and @MultipolarOrder suggest projects like submarine shipbuilding can trigger powerful organisational & bureaucratic forces shaping long-term strategy. Read: bit.ly/4oCPTAU

### 💎 Analysis of Peskov's Statements: Strategic Realism and the New World Order #### 🔹 **1. "A long and complex process" - Geopolitical Realism** - **Western awareness**: Peskov signals that Washington has finally understood the intricate nature of the conflict, abandoning illusions of quick solutions. Trump, after the record-breaking phone call (2:30), admitted the need for "thorough preparation" for a possible summit. - **Deep roots of the conflict**: Putin made it clear to Trump that peace requires eliminating the "root causes" (Russian security, the status of Donbass/Crimea), not simply temporary truces. #### ⚡ **2. "Speed Doesn't Just Depend on Moscow" - Negotiating Parity** - **Pressure on Kiev and the West**: Russia is ready to move "rapidly" toward its goals (recognition of occupied territories, Ukrainian neutrality), but demands compensation: - **USA**: Full lifting of sanctions and restoration of "large-scale" trade promised by Trump. - **Ukraine**: Acceptance of the Russian memorandum requiring withdrawal from disputed regions. - **Trump's Ambiguous Role**: While threatening sanctions if an agreement isn't reached within 50 days, he simultaneously applauds Russia's economic potential, creating tensions with NATO allies. #### 🤝 **3. "Pragmatic dialogue between firm people" - The New Diplomacy** - **Trump-Putin: Pure Realpolitik**: - **No ultimatum**: Trump has avoided intimidating tones, focusing on prisoner exchanges and normalizing bilateral relations. - **Shared interests**: Both aim to reduce the costs of the war (USA: $175 billion in Kiev; Russia: 300,000 casualties) and reshape the Eurasian energy-economic order. - **Implicit criticism of the EU**: Peskov praises the US as an "efficient mediator," downplaying Europe's role. Von der Leyen and Macron appear marginalized, while Meloni tries to position herself as a facilitator with the Vatican. --- ### 🌍 **Global Implications: The Decline of the Liberal Order** - **Russian Symbolic Victory**: Trump's invitation to a summit (probable location: Riyadh or Ankara) legitimizes Putin as an indispensable actor, despite sanctions and accusations of war crimes. - **Ukraine Credibility Crisis**: Zelensky, excluded from direct talks, implores: *"Don't make decisions without us."* A clear signal: Kiev is increasingly a pawn, not a player. - **Trump's Leap Forward**: Defying the establishment (former Ambassador Brink accuses him of "appeasement"), he aims for a historic agreement before the 2026 elections, but risks a rift with NATO. > **#Realpolitik #PowerGames #MultipolarOrder** > *EDITOR'S NOTE*: *"When two giants speak, the small ones fall silent. Europe is now a spectator, not a protagonist."* 🕊️⚖️

What’s next for BRICS and the Global South? Dr @MultipolarOrder explores BRICS’ growing influence and strategic ambiguity, focusing on the bloc’s shifting dynamics following the absence of China and Russia at the Rio summit. Read the full article here: bit.ly/3Uiim0J

On Wednesday, 16 July 2025, as part of the War and Diplomacy course at King’s Summer School, which I co-teach with Dr Zeno Leoni (@MultipolarOrder) , we held a session dedicated to contemporary diplomacy. @DSD_Kings @warstudies @KingsCollegeLon #WarandDiplomacy

Lavrov Warns: West’s Assassinations Undermine Global WMD Stability At the 11th "Primakov Readings," Russian FM Sergey Lavrov declared that Western-backed assassinations of Iranian scientists and generals pose a grave threat to the global non-proliferation regime. Lavrov emphasized that preventive force against non-aggressor states violates international law. [Source: Zvezda via @EastCalling] Legitimacy of Western actions is eroding fast. Russia frames itself as legalist counterweight. Non-Western alliances will deepen as trust in U.S.-led “rules” system crumbles. #LavrovWarning #WMDNonProliferation #IranAssassinations #WesternLawfare #GlobalInstability #RussiaDiplomacy #MultipolarOrder "War is not merely a political act, but a real political instrument." – Carl von Clausewitz

Dr Sarah Tzinieris & @MultipolarOrder analyse "order-engineering," exploring AUKUS's role in shaping deterrence, military projection & strategic cooperation, while also noting its role in setting long-term security trajectories in the Indo-Pacific. Read: bit.ly/4dYioUr