This is something people pointing to China's demographic decline often forget: for the next few years - at least until the late 2030s (if not early 2040s) - the number of people entering the workforce in China is set to INCREASE, not decrease.
For instance do you know which years recorded the highest birth rates in China in the 21st century? It was, in order, 2012 (14.57 births per thousand), 2014 (13.83) and 2016 (13.57). (src:
stats.gov.cn/sj/ndsj/2025/in…)
This results in the fact that, as you can see in the age pyramid below 👇, the 10-14 age cohort (kids born in 2012-2016) is actually **larger** than the 3 cohorts preceding it.
2016 kids - for instance - will reach 18 in 2034, and those studying at university (the majority of them) will reach the workforce at the very end of the 2030s, and the early 2040s.
The only cohort that's really dramatically shrunk compared to others is the 0-4 one, meaning China will really only start to have significant significant drops in workforce entrants in the late 2040s.
Today is the first day of the 2026 Gaokao. In Beijing, the number of students sitting for the Gaokao this year has risen to 79,000, up from 54,000 in 2022. The nationwide total is 12.9 million. and it is expected to reach a peak of 15 million in 2030.