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#Fed futures are pricing a 64% probability that interest rates will remain unchanged through year-end. #Fed #FOMC #InterestRates #MonetaryPolicy #RatePause #FedWatch #Macro #Markets
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Reserve Bank of India may be on pause, but the policy signal is shifting beneath the surface. The repo rate at 5.25% is expected to hold through 2026-27, yet what once looked like a pause with easing bias is now tilting the other way—the next move, whenever it comes, is more likely a hike than a cut. With inflation risks rising, growth slowing, and the rupee emerging as a near-term policy anchor, the RBI is navigating a far more complex trade-off than the headline suggests. 🔹Are markets underestimating the shift from easing bias to tightening risk? 🔹Does the exchange rate now matter more than the policy rate in shaping RBI actions? 🔹At what point does a prolonged pause turn into a prelude to hikes? Read a column by Shubhada Rao, Vivek Kumar, and Yuvika Singhal: Calm Policy, Stormy Skies basispointinsight.com/Story/… @ShubhadaRao, @VK_2021, @yuvika_singhal #RBI #RBIPolicy #RatePause #HikeBias #Rupee #OilShock #Macro
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RBI repo rate unchanged: રેપો રેટ ફરી યથાવત્, લોન મોંઘી નહીં થાય RBIએ વ્યાજદર 5.25% પર યથાવત્ રાખ્યો નાણાકીય નીતિ સમિતિની બેઠકમાં નિર્ણય 2025માં ચાર વખતમાં 1.25%નો ઘટાડ્યો હતો છેલ્લે ડિસેમ્બરમાં 0.25 ટકા ઘટાડ્યો હતો #RBI #RepoRate #InterestRates #Economy #BreakingNews #IndiaEconomy #LoanRates #FinancialNews #MonetaryPolicy #Banking #EMI #Inflation #ReserveBankOfIndia #EconomicUpdate #FinanceNews #MarketUpdate #IndiaNews #LatestNews #PolicyDecision #RatePause RBI repo rate unchanged, India interest rates news, RBI monetary policy decision, loan EMI impact India, repo rate 5.25 percent, RBI MPC meeting update, inflation and interest rates India, banking sector news India, financial policy RBI, rate cut history 2025
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US central bank keeps policy rate at 3.5 per cent to 3.75 per cent as Middle East tensions, sticky inflation and weak job gains cloud outlook; emerging markets brace for currency and energy pressures Read More: businessworld.in/article/fed… Written by: Satyam Mishra @anuragbatrayo | @NFWarsia | Tanvie Ahuja #Fed #RatePause #war #IranConflict
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RBI keeps rates unchanged Real estate sector welcomes stability but flags the need for demand stimulus—especially for affordable housing. What does this mean for buyers & developers? Click here- bit.ly/4tqd7MH #RBI #RealEstate #RatePause #housingmarket #IndiaEconomy
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#BWOriginals: MPC holds repo at 5.25 per cent after 125 bps easing, banks turn focus to liquidity management, lending support and smoother transmission Read more: businessworld.in/article/rbi… Written by:  Satyam Mishra  @RBI @anuragbatrayo | @NFWarsia | Tanvie Ahuja #RBI #MPC #RatePause #Liquidity #Banking #Inflation
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RBI’s Strongest Move? Holding the Line. As markets fixate on the Union Budget, India’s February 2026 monetary policy review risks being overlooked. But a pause by the RBI may be its most powerful signal yet. With growth resilient, inflation contained, and liquidity abundant, further easing could backfire—hurting margins, pressuring the rupee, and weakening credit intermediation. Kembai Srinivasa Rao writes for BasisPoint: RBI’s Easiest Decision May Be to Do Nothing basispointinsight.com/Story/… #RBI #MPC #MonetaryPolicy #RatePause #Liquidity #IndiaEconomy
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#BWOriginals: After 125 bps of easing since February last year, economists see the MPC maintaining a pause while fine-tuning liquidity tools amid global uncertainty and bond market pressures Read more: businessworld.in/article/exp… Written by: Satyam Mishra @anuragbatrayo | @NFWarsia | Tanvie Ahuja #RBI #MPC #RatePause #GlobalUncertainty
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Fed Holds Rates Steady The Federal Reserve has entered a new pause in its easing cycle, holding interest rates steady for the first time since July and signalling little urgency to resume cuts after three contentious reductions last year. The Federal Open Market Committee voted 10–2 to keep the federal-funds rate in a range of 3.5% to 3.75%, a decision that was widely anticipated and generated minimal market reaction. Equity markets were little changed, and the 10-year Treasury yield edged up modestly to around 4.25%. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said recent economic data had been more encouraging than at the previous meeting, pointing to stronger growth and tentative signs of stabilization in the labour market. These developments have given policymakers greater confidence to remain on hold, waiting for clearer evidence either of renewed labour-market weakness or more decisive progress on inflation toward the Fed’s 2% target. Powell emphasized that the Fed is not setting a specific test or timeline for further cuts, noting instead that policy is “well positioned” to respond as conditions evolve. The decision reflects the Fed’s ongoing balancing act. Inflation slowed meaningfully in 2023 and 2024 but has since stalled above target, arguing for patience. At the same time, job growth has cooled sharply over the past year, prompting concerns about economic momentum and leading to last year’s rate cuts. More recently, however, unemployment has stabilized, reducing the urgency for further easing. Powell described the current environment as “challenging and quite unusual,” with lingering tension between inflation and employment objectives, though less acute than before. Click below to read more: foresight-analytics.com/fed-… #FederalReserve #FedPolicy #InterestRates #MonetaryPolicy #RatePause #USEconomy #Inflation #LabourMarket #BondMarkets #TreasuryYields #EquityMarkets #ForesightAnalytics
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FOMC Meeting Update — January 28, 2026 In its first meeting of the year on January 28, 2026, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to hold interest rates steady, maintaining the target range for the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75%. This pause follows a streak of three consecutive 25 bps cuts in late-2025, signaling the Fed has entered a wait-and-see mode to assess how previous easing flows through the economy. 🔍 Key Highlights ✅ The Decision The Committee voted 10–2 to keep rates unchanged. Dissenters: Christopher Waller and Stephen Miran, both favoring a 25 bps cut. ✅ Economic Outlook The Fed said the economy is expanding at a “solid pace.” Job gains remain modest, while the unemployment rate stabilized at 4.4% (Dec data). ✅ Inflation Status Inflation remains “somewhat elevated.” Chair Jerome Powell noted core inflation is near 3%, and much of the recent goods-price pressure stems from tariffs, which the Fed views as a one-time price shock. ✅ Future Guidance The Committee will “carefully assess incoming data” and the balance of risks before adjusting policy again. 🌍 Context & Market Impact ⚠️ Political Pressure President Trump continues pushing for faster rate cuts. ⚖️ Fed Independence Powell faced questions about a DOJ probe and Governor Lisa Cook’s position, replying that policymakers should “stay out of elected politics.” 📈 Market Reaction S&P 500 briefly crossed 7,000 Gold surged above $5,300 Bitcoin eased near $89,000 📊 Snapshot Federal Funds Rate: 3.50% – 3.75% Vote Count: 10–2 (Waller, Miran dissent) Core PCE Inflation: ~3.0% Unemployment: 4.4% Next Likely Move: Market expects a pause until June 2026 #FOMC #FederalReserve #InterestRates #USMarkets #MonetaryPolicy #Inflation #JeromePowell #FedDecision #RatePause #USStocks #SP500 #Gold #Bitcoin #MacroEconomy #Investing #MarketUpdate #GlobalMarkets #Economy2026
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FOMC Meeting Update — January 28, 2026 In its first meeting of the year on January 28, 2026, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to hold interest rates steady, maintaining the target range for the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75%. This pause follows a streak of three consecutive 25 bps cuts in late-2025, signaling the Fed has entered a wait-and-see mode to assess how previous easing flows through the economy. 🔍 Key Highlights ✅ The Decision The Committee voted 10–2 to keep rates unchanged. Dissenters: Christopher Waller and Stephen Miran, both favoring a 25 bps cut. ✅ Economic Outlook The Fed said the economy is expanding at a “solid pace.” Job gains remain modest, while the unemployment rate stabilized at 4.4% (Dec data). ✅ Inflation Status Inflation remains “somewhat elevated.” Chair Jerome Powell noted core inflation is near 3%, and much of the recent goods-price pressure stems from tariffs, which the Fed views as a one-time price shock. ✅ Future Guidance The Committee will “carefully assess incoming data” and the balance of risks before adjusting policy again. 🌍 Context & Market Impact ⚠️ Political Pressure President Trump continues pushing for faster rate cuts. ⚖️ Fed Independence Powell faced questions about a DOJ probe and Governor Lisa Cook’s position, replying that policymakers should “stay out of elected politics.” 📈 Market Reaction S&P 500 briefly crossed 7,000 Gold surged above $5,300 Bitcoin eased near $89,000 📊 Snapshot Federal Funds Rate: 3.50% – 3.75% Vote Count: 10–2 (Waller, Miran dissent) Core PCE Inflation: ~3.0% Unemployment: 4.4% Next Likely Move: Market expects a pause until June 2026 #FOMC #FederalReserve #InterestRates #USMarkets #MonetaryPolicy #Inflation #JeromePowell #FedDecision #RatePause #USStocks #SP500 #Gold #Bitcoin #MacroEconomy #Investing #MarketUpdate #GlobalMarkets #Economy2026
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Fed Watch: 99% Probability of NO Rate Cut in January 🇺🇸 Markets are now pricing in a ~99% chance that the Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged in January. What it signals: 🏦 The Fed remains cautious on inflation progress. 📉 Rate cuts are being pushed further out on the timeline. 📊 Policy focus stays on data dependency over urgency. 💵 Risk assets may see volatility around guidance, not the decision itself. Attention now shifts to Powell’s commentary on inflation, labor markets, and future easing paths. #FederalReserve #FedDecision #InterestRates #RatePause #MonetaryPolicy #FedWatch #USMarkets #MacroUpdate #InflationWatch #JeromePowell #MarketExpectations #StocksToWatch #GlobalMarkets #InvestorSentiment #EconomicOutlook
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Fed Watch: 99% Probability of NO Rate Cut in January 🇺🇸 Markets are now pricing in a ~99% chance that the Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged in January. What it signals: 🏦 The Fed remains cautious on inflation progress. 📉 Rate cuts are being pushed further out on the timeline. 📊 Policy focus stays on data dependency over urgency. 💵 Risk assets may see volatility around guidance, not the decision itself. Attention now shifts to Powell’s commentary on inflation, labor markets, and future easing paths. #FederalReserve #FedDecision #InterestRates #RatePause #MonetaryPolicy #FedWatch #USMarkets #MacroUpdate #InflationWatch #JeromePowell #MarketExpectations #StocksToWatch #GlobalMarkets #InvestorSentiment #EconomicOutlook
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