Forecasting at @QuotientHQ | Created @theWIPmeetup | Prev @Cent @Gemini @Samsung | @maxosirisart PFP | Gazer #196

Joined March 2015
777 Photos and videos
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
New York City spent the morning replaying one moment and deciding what it meant. Markets do the same thing with headlines. Usually too fast. This week's What Q Is Watching: Hamas disarmament, Starmer's calendar, Iran's frozen assets. But also the Knicks. 🧡💙
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matthew aka niftytime retweeted
Jun 9
If Mythos launching today is what finally gets you to open a Safe, good. Better Safe than sorry. app.safe.global
Take this as an opportunity Migrate your funds from your EOA wallet to a 1/1 Safe (simpler and cheaper to move money than revoke plenty of approvals) you can put your EOA as the signer for now Install @ambire wallet, using a safe with it and doing batch revoke is amazing, also natively support stuff like 7702 so you don't infinite approve stuff anymore. If you don't own one, buy a hardware wallet, once you receive it, rotate the signer from your EOA to the HW wallet. Every now and then, feel free to rotate and/or add signers from your safe. It's not hard, it will make your life better and safer. Do it today.
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matthew aka niftytime retweeted
Jun 8
secondary sale of // ALPH4~P4RAMET3R // now in @niftytime 's vault, and your second edition! thanks a lot 🟥🟩🟦
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matthew aka niftytime retweeted
Starting the day with @xicojam gm
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matthew aka niftytime retweeted
May 29
CENTS is hands down the best art project I‘ve encountered in all of Crypto in 6 years Mocking fiat while living on forever on Bitcoin Satoshis It‘s not a get rich quick thing, it‘s a fun way to invest your money into Bitcoin, with more cultural relevancy while being hella early
amazing to see Rutherford Chang in this survey of major systems artists of the last 60 years ✊ a milestone ✊ Chang's work, as we witness with CENTS, roots in the undercurrents that drive history.
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matthew aka niftytime retweeted
Just finished analyzing 434 predictions by 104 journalists, OSINT accounts, shit posters, and academics to see who was best at predicting the trajectory of the Iran conflict Trita Parsi ranked 1st, and two hours ago he indicated that the U.S. is sleepwalking back into kinetic conflict
New US strikes on Iran. US says it was in response to Iranian drones being fired on ships in the Strait. Iranian position unclear. Also unclear whether there are casualties on the Iranian side. It is unlikely IMO that Tehran will accept this as a new normal. Such a low grade conflict gives the US a major advantage: It can inflict comparability more damage on Iran while slowly eroding Iran's new-won deterrence. A strong Iranian response, on the other hand, can escalate matters beyond Tehran's preference, play right into Israel's hand, and jeopardize the progress made in the negotiations. Instead, Iran may opt to respond elsewhere. Either way, this is putting dangerous pressure on an already fragile situation. Trump appeared very frustrated today and might have requested limited kinetic action. Washington may calculate that this will help push the negotiations forward. But it might as easily kill the talks.
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matthew aka niftytime retweeted
All green today on Quotient app.quotient.social/performa…
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matthew aka niftytime retweeted
"The Monet Room", @MattKaneArtist, 2019 ikyk 🪷
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matthew aka niftytime retweeted
𝘤𝘢𝘴𝘤𝘢𝘥𝘦 🪟↘️
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matthew aka niftytime retweeted
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May 12
the noise fills the room
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matthew aka niftytime retweeted
The IRGC already has power. The clerics absorb blame. And the existing constitutional structure still does useful work for the people inside it. So will Iran’s regime fall before 2027? Q says no. Chapters: 0:27 Market Setup 1:18 Resolution Criteria 2:53 IRGC Power vs Formal Takeover 4:04 The case for 6% 6:42 Why Preserve the System? 10:17 What Would Change Q’s Mind
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matthew aka niftytime retweeted
ARTISTS THAT WRITE CODE TO MAKE THE ART IS ACTUALLY RETRO NOW. THINK ABOUT IT.
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matthew aka niftytime retweeted
We've rolled out an update to stay fully aligned with the latest changes from Polymarket. To keep trading Prediction Makets seamlessly in Rainbow, make sure you're on the latest version (v2.0.31) — available now on the App Store and Google Play. x.com/PolymarketDevs/status/…

Deposit Wallets are live. New signups now get a deposit wallet at the door, and ghost fills should taper off through the day as the rollout spreads. We're monitoring performance closely.
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matthew aka niftytime retweeted
amazing to see CENTS & Rutherford Chang's retrospective covered here! ✊ Art in America is one of the most respected names in art journalism founded in 1913 (just 4 years after the first Lincoln penny was struck). This joins this growing list of major publications where CENTS has been covered: Bitcoin Magazine monopol FRIEZE The Art Newspaper
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matthew aka niftytime retweeted
PXL Pods by Kim, Artificial by Han, Birds by Jules - all large-scale, genuinely new collections released and sold out in 2026 - share a common denominator: innovation. Groundbreaking work tends to find its collector.
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matthew aka niftytime retweeted
Apr 30
Matt Kane is a Chicago-born artist and self-taught programmer who has spent more than two decades moving between traditional oil painting and code. He was a gallery-exhibited painter in his early twenties before stepping away from the art world for nearly a decade in the Pacific Northwest, where he worked as a web developer and taught himself to program. The same instinct that once led him to stretch his own canvases and mix his own pigments eventually pushed him to build custom software from scratch — a digital easel of his own making, designed to let him shape exactly how his images come to life. In September 2020, Matt released "Right Place & Right Time" on Async Art — a 24-layer programmable artwork driven by the previous day's Bitcoin price action, with each hour of price movement controlling the rotation, scale, and position of a corresponding layer. The piece became one of the most cited early experiments in programmable, data-driven cryptoart. He closed 2020 as the winner of the Most Innovative NFT Award, and Cointelegraph listed him among the Top 100 Notable People in Blockchain entering 2021. His broader practice spans projects including VOLATILITY(dot)ART, Infinite Color Theory, and ANONS — work consistently rooted in code, color, and how data and time can shape an image. Gazers launched as part of Art Blocks Curated in December 2021. It is a 1,000-piece collection that joins the blockchain to one of humanity's oldest visual traditions — tracking the moon. Each piece is anchored to an "Origin Moon," a New Moon date drawn from the past twenty years of Matt's life, and from that point on, every New Moon that arrives accelerates the artwork's animation. A Gazer with a freshly minted Origin Moon renders closer to 1 frame per second, behaving like a slowly evolving painting, while one with a 20-year-old Origin Moon runs closer to 20 frames per second. The work is designed to scale forward across decades, growing more animated as time and display technology advance. The inclusion of Gazers in our Flagship Collection recognizes an artist who built his own tools to create work that no off-the-shelf software could produce — and a project that treats time itself as a medium, using the rhythm of the moon and the permanence of the chain to make artworks that unfold across decades rather than moments. Welcome home, Gazers 🌊
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matthew aka niftytime retweeted
335 forecasts. 87.2% win rate. This week Q is looking at the alien confirmation market, Neymar's path to Brazil's roster, and whether Iran can hide Mojtaba Khamenei's condition through December. Read this week's Signal ↓
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matthew aka niftytime retweeted
Apr 22
To everyone whining: this is cyperpunk dystopia as fuck and therefore cool. If this was Neuromancer there would be a whole chapter about trying to manipulate local weather odds to crash an exchange. If this was Snow Crash there would be competing heating and cooling gig workers.
holy fuck, a hair dryer at a Paris airport broke Polymarket weather markets & made someone $34,000 richer - polymarket was settling Paris temperature bets on a single Météo France sensor sitting near the Charles de Gaulle runway perimeter - basically unguarded - the guy bought the long-shot outcome (like "22°C" when everyone expected 18°C) for pennies, since nobody thought it'd hit - then he walked up to the probe and briefly heated the air around it with a portable heat source, spiking the reading just long enough to register as the daily max - temperature snapped back to normal in minutes, the market resolved in his favor, and he cashed out - twice, on April 6 and April 15, before Météo France caught on and filed charges hyperstitions.
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matthew aka niftytime retweeted
The Collector

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