专业解决X压抑

Joined June 2024
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Replying to @AxelPariss
La newsletter @SemiAnalysis_ Le club @bourseko Les screener type @hibooexpert @fiscal_ai @Baggr_fr (Hiboo est cool pour la simplicité mais je préfère Baggr et Fiscal car plus complets) @Quartr_App pour les podcasts
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Jun 13
If a leader is going to HOLD UP, it usually tells me right at the 9week. After studying prior leaders...over and over again, the biggest leaders of every cycle tend to respect the 9week during healthy uptrends. If you go back and study stocks like $ARM, $MU, $SNDK, or countless other recent market leaders, you'll notice something very, very interesting... after breaking out of large bases, they rarely move in a straight line. Instead, they advance, digest, pull back into support, find buyers, and then continue higher. More often than not, that support area ends up being somewhere around the 9week. That's why I pay so much attention to this area on leading names. The 9week is where I start asking questions: "Is this just normal profit taking?" or... "Is institutional demand beginning to disappear?" I do believe both questions answer different concepts. I've picked up that the majority of traders on X see a pullback and immediately assume something is wrong, but I often see PBs as an opportunity. If a stock has already proven itself as a leader, is part of a strong theme/group, and has been outperforming the market for weeks or months, a pullback into the 9week is usually the first place I become interested again an a range move. But here's the catch... I don't blindly buy the 9week. I STALK the reaction. Think about the psychology of buyers sellers... after a strong run, people begin taking profits. Short-term traders get nervous, weak hands start selling, and the stock pulls back into an area where institutions have previously supported price. Now the question becomes: "Do buyers show up again?" Simply put...that's what I'm watching. If a stock slices through the 9week with heavy selling pressure and can't reclaim it, I take note. If sellers push it into the 9week and buyers immediately begin defending the area, that makes my eyebrows perk. The REACTION matters MORE to me than the level itself. This is where my lower timeframe execution comes into play. Once a leading stock reaches the 9week, I immediately move down to the 15 30min TF. I'm looking for evidence that momentum is beginning to shift. Things like... > Undercuts and reclaims > 15/30 min bullish pivots > Intraday VWAP reclaims > Higher TF failed breakdowns > Higher lows starting to form > Buyers defending weekly support These are all clues that selling pressure may be exhausting itself. My favorite entries usually come when sellers flush price below an obvious level, trap late sellers, and then buyers step in aggressively to reclaim it. Once a 15 or 30min pivot forms, I can enter with a tight stop underneath the low and/or LOD. That's what creates the asymmetric opportunity. I'm not trying to buy because the stock is down. I'm buying because buyers are proving they're willing to defend an area (I'm watching) that already matters on the weekly chart. Something I've learned from studying hundreds of market leaders is that the best stocks often make it difficult to get in. They like to shake people out and create doubt. They pull back just enough to make people question the trend before continuing higher. IMO, the 9week is often where that battle takes place. Here's a SIMPLE process to backtest yourself: 1) Identify a leading stock with strong RS. 2) Wait for a PB into the 9week/50EMA confluence. 3) Monitor volume price behavior around support. 4) Drop down to the 15/30min charts. 5) Wait for buyers to prove they're stepping in. 6) Enter on a pivot high support reclaim. 7) Risk against the low and/or LOD. Don't just take my words as truth... give it a try yourself! This is the focus: to put myself in a position where risk is small, the trend is still intact, and institutions are potentially showing their hand again. That's why I love the 9week, and again it's not an entry signal by itself. It's an area of interest where some of the best "low-risk" opportunities in leading stocks tend to develop. I write all of this to say, watch the 9week! Charts: $INTC, $AMKR, $AEVA, $OUST.
Jun 13
It took me years to understand that some of the best opportunities show up when multiple timeframes start telling the same story. A setup immediately gets my attention when a leading stock starts tightening up around the daily 50EMA while simultaneously sitting on the weekly 9EMA. That area tends to attract a lot of eyes from trend followers & swing traders to larger institutions, all evaluating risk around the same spot. When relative strength remains constructive, volatility starts contracting, and buyers continue defending that confluence of support...that's usually my cue to zoom into the smaller TFs and pay very close attention. I just need to recognize that the stock is building pressure, building up the right side, and if expansion comes, the risk/reward can become very attractive. This is something I pay attention to.
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Chudai....🍆🍆
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全穴に媚💊ザーメン大量注入!飲んで!浴びて!中出しされて!されればされるほど快感倍増! ケツ穴ブリブリでイキ狂う脳ミソがぶっ壊れるアナルキメセク❤️‍🔥 月野江すい天使すぎる😍
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Kayley Gunner
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𝓒𝓱𝓾𝓭𝓪𝓲...🍆🍆

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Savannah Bond
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マナーがなっとらん息子にメイドの使い方を教えるお父さん al.fanza.co.jp/?lurl=https%3…
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AAII sentiment survey is a good indicator for trend reversal: aaii.com/sentimentsurvey Basically when they're bearish we're bullish and vice versa. Another good indicator is NAAIM exposure index: naaim.org/programs/naaim-exp…

6月份跌完后的看多逻辑,现在又多了一层验证。 AAII最新投资者情绪调查显示,截至6月10日今天刚更新,看空比例已经升至47.7%,接近今年3月18日52%的极端看空水平,远高于历史平均31%。与此同时,看多比例仅30.4%,明显低于历史平均37.5%。 这说明经历6月份这轮调整之后,市场情绪已经从一两周前的乐观重新回到偏恐慌区域。历史上AAII并不是精准择时指标,但当看空情绪接近极端水平时,这就说明大量坏消息已经被市场提前消化,等今天说的流动性不足,美伊局势升级,日元套利交易风险和Kevin Warsh的不确定性这四大不确定性事件利空出尽后,反转就要来了。 当然,情绪悲观本身并不能成为市场上涨的理由,情绪面是我判断的其中标准之一,其他的基本面,技术面,消息面和期权在今日总结里有分析过,真正决定方向的还是盈利和基本面。当AI资本开支仍在增长、企业盈利预期没有明显恶化,而市场情绪却接近年内最悲观水平时,至少说明当前环境是在为未来的反转积累条件,不是处于一轮牛市乐观泡沫的末期。
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这可能是今年最值得听的space 没有之一! 因为挖掘机老师,我在25年10月就上车了存储,一直拿到现在 hh老师,则是推上最牛逼的择时大师,基于对基本面深入理解的择时大师
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会社に入って憧れの水野先輩のおかげで仕事にも慣れてきた 仕事ぶりは完璧、誰にでも優しく美人な先輩 2人で出張にきたが、交渉が難航して翌日に再訪する事に 急遽、宿泊するビジネスホテルの空き部屋は1つ そこに2人で泊まる事になって…
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