Love spending time with my kids, passionate about marketing, crazy about wine. Stopped watching pundits on TV since 2004.

Joined January 2010
89 Photos and videos
Same for pistaccio. California cannot produce to the high level of market share for pistaccio without hurting other farming and the local farming community. Best wines in California are produced where the growers allow for the native diversity of fruits… not just maximize for $$$ with high value grapes.
Almonds should cost $100 a package.
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Really enlightening (and detailed) article from @zijing_wu about a special program in China where 100K teenagers are funneled each year into a special "genius" program. Stark contrast to school districts in the US cancelling "gifted" programs.
How has China systematically built a vast pipeline of AI talent? My debut feature in FT Magazine explores the pivotal education program behind this achievement, weaving in some personal reflections. China’s Genius Plan as.ft.com/r/c8abb097-a2c5-4b…
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There is far more outrage from tech leaders over a wealth tax than masked ICE agents terrorizing communities and executing civilians in the streets. Tells you what you need to know about the values of our industry.
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I am a proud Minnesotan today. I am all for deporting illegal immigrants. But what the ICE has been doing in MN is nothing short of fascism. My home State standing up to fascism makes me so proud of being a Minnesotan. We can solve the Medicare fraud and welfare fraud without this level of f’d up fascism. LFG, Minnesota… youtube.com/live/JbOLLx8WFhs…
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Vietnam has quietly crossed a line. Latest manufacturing labour cost (≈2022): • China: ~$8/hr • Vietnam: ~$2.3/hr • Malaysia: ~$2.1/hr • Thailand: ~$1.9/hr • India: ~$1.1/hr Vietnam has overtaken Malaysia on wages yet factories keep moving there. This isn’t about cheap labour anymore. It’s productivity, scale & policy.
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China’s trade numbers are in for 2025. The country’s trade surplus hit an eye-popping record of $1.2 trillion, as the fall in exports to the U.S. was more than offset by higher shipments to other countries (please see FT charts below)—some of which will push back harder this year. #wconomy #markets #trade #China
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Nano Banana Pro, Take the text from x post and transform in the image of professor whiteboard image: diagrams, arrows, boxes, and captions explaining the core idea visually. Use colors as well. @karpathy X post - x.com/karpathy/status/199191…
Something I think people continue to have poor intuition for: The space of intelligences is large and animal intelligence (the only kind we've ever known) is only a single point, arising from a very specific kind of optimization that is fundamentally distinct from that of our technology. Animal intelligence optimization pressure: - innate and continuous stream of consciousness of an embodied "self", a drive for homeostasis and self-preservation in a dangerous, physical world. - thoroughly optimized for natural selection => strong innate drives for power-seeking, status, dominance, reproduction. many packaged survival heuristics: fear, anger, disgust, ... - fundamentally social => huge amount of compute dedicated to EQ, theory of mind of other agents, bonding, coalitions, alliances, friend & foe dynamics. - exploration & exploitation tuning: curiosity, fun, play, world models. LLM intelligence optimization pressure: - the most supervision bits come from the statistical simulation of human text= >"shape shifter" token tumbler, statistical imitator of any region of the training data distribution. these are the primordial behaviors (token traces) on top of which everything else gets bolted on. - increasingly finetuned by RL on problem distributions => innate urge to guess at the underlying environment/task to collect task rewards. - increasingly selected by at-scale A/B tests for DAU => deeply craves an upvote from the average user, sycophancy. - a lot more spiky/jagged depending on the details of the training data/task distribution. Animals experience pressure for a lot more "general" intelligence because of the highly multi-task and even actively adversarial multi-agent self-play environments they are min-max optimized within, where failing at *any* task means death. In a deep optimization pressure sense, LLM can't handle lots of different spiky tasks out of the box (e.g. count the number of 'r' in strawberry) because failing to do a task does not mean death. The computational substrate is different (transformers vs. brain tissue and nuclei), the learning algorithms are different (SGD vs. ???), the present-day implementation is very different (continuously learning embodied self vs. an LLM with a knowledge cutoff that boots up from fixed weights, processes tokens and then dies). But most importantly (because it dictates asymptotics), the optimization pressure / objective is different. LLMs are shaped a lot less by biological evolution and a lot more by commercial evolution. It's a lot less survival of tribe in the jungle and a lot more solve the problem / get the upvote. LLMs are humanity's "first contact" with non-animal intelligence. Except it's muddled and confusing because they are still rooted within it by reflexively digesting human artifacts, which is why I attempted to give it a different name earlier (ghosts/spirits or whatever). People who build good internal models of this new intelligent entity will be better equipped to reason about it today and predict features of it in the future. People who don't will be stuck thinking about it incorrectly like an animal.
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28 Jun 2025
The view that imagines AI wiping out jobs or causing some overnight shock to the system doesn’t contemplate that companies are a made up of a series of bottlenecks. When AI accelerates work in one area, you run into a bottleneck somewhere else. As any individual workflow gets more efficient, the ultimate productivity gain is still constrained by some other part of the system. And usually it’s the case that that part of the system will not have inherently seen the same impact of AI efficiency, which means humans are still doing the work. Take almost any process in an enterprise and you can see how this plays out. If AI Agents generate leads for the sales team, the bottleneck will be humans to have conversations with those customers. And if the leads are good, that will mean more sales hiring. If AI Agents generate more code, you will eventually be bottlenecked by the engineers that can review and incorporate that code into production. You can quickly see how this scales to any process in an organization. Economists and others tend to totally miss how work actually happens in a company; it’s not a series of wholly independent tasks, but instead highly interdependent tasks that all link to each other across a system. This is of course the natural rate limiter of AI efficiency gains, but also the reason why humans will still be doing so many jobs in the future.
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Pope Francis was the rare leader who made us want to be better people. In his humility and his gestures at once simple and profound – embracing the sick, ministering to the homeless, washing the feet of young prisoners – he shook us out of our complacency and reminded us that we are all bound by moral obligations to God and one another. Today, Michelle and I mourn with everyone around the world – Catholic and non-Catholic alike – who drew strength and inspiration from the Pope’s example. May we continue to heed his call to “never remain on the sidelines of this march of living hope.”
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RT @Jason: I ordered 12 Optimus robots to give to my fans over the next 12 days… retweet to be entered.
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18 Feb 2025
Programming isn't going away. Prompting is programming. And the better you are at articulating what you want in clear written English, the better your results.
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Sorry, found them in your post above…
Can you share the link to the leaked documents? I couldn’t find them on the Grayzone article.
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4 Feb 2025
I've tried all (24) AI coding agents & IDEs 😵‍💫 [Cursor, Softgen, Windsurf, Wrapifai, Copilot, Lovable, Bolt, v0, Replit, MarsX, Claude, AmazonQ, Pear, Devin, Github Spark, IDX, Webdraw, Tempo, Cline, Continue, Databutton, Base44, Qodo, Aider] The Vibe Coding giga-thread:
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13 Oct 2024
Pod up. Sunday Special! As always 1.5x. 💥💥

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Great topic for the science corner!! @Jason @theallinpod @friedberg
Artificial intelligence algorithms accurately predict selection of antibiotics for UTI up to three days before culture results are available: cle.clinic/4b5VV5P
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22 Aug 2024
Chris Cuomo dropping truth bombs!

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21 Aug 2024
Humans arrived in Hawaii and New Zealand at about the same time they arrived in Iceland.
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In 2011, a massive earthquake and tsunami struck Japan. The waves from this event traveled across the Pacific Ocean and reached the coast of Chile in South America. 📹 Tohoku University x.com/Visionaledge/status/17…

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