Joined March 2009
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27 Aug 2023
1/6: Tesla already has won the race to autonomy and nobody knows it. Heres why (a 🧵)
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JUST IN: Tesla Robotaxi has recorded zero at-fault incidents since February, according to newly released NHTSA data.
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For years, people claimed Full Self-Driving would never work in Europe because of: • Super narrow roads • Blind corners everywhere • Poor or completely missing road markings • Situations where you often have to reverse to let oncoming traffic pass Today I let FSD handle my daily commute on exactly these challenging Belgian roads. It wasn’t busy, but it smoothly managed the tight lanes and exhausting bends with zero issues.
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My 17-year-old daughter: ā€œI’m confused. We’ve always been taught not to share personal information or anything that identifies us online because it isn’t safe. Now they want us to do exactly that to access social media.ā€
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Jun 15
Tesla Model 3 engine compartment vs Mercedes-Benz EQA. Tesla is still leagues ahead of the competition.
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Over 60% of claims are now handled/resolved automatically by AI. Grok summary: Here is a comprehensive list of everything Adina Eckstein discusses in the Calcalist/Google AI Week interview (based on the published article summarizing her remarks): - Lemonade’s foundational reliance on AI and resilience to layoffs/tech disruption: The company was built on AI from its inception about a decade ago. This makes them less affected by the current wave of tech layoffs compared to SaaS/software companies. AI accelerates rather than slows them down. Lemonade is a technology company that builds insurance via technology, not a software seller. - AI usage across nearly all company operations: - 98% of products/policies are sold by AI. - Over 60% of claims are handled/resolved automatically by AI. - All new code is written by AI. - AI is also used in HR, finance, and other areas. - She states there is almost nothing AI cannot do that humans can. - Operational efficiency as a growth driver: AI-driven efficiency lowers variable costs, enabling lower prices for customers, better value, and accelerated company growth. Efficiency directly fuels growth. - Company growth and future outlook: Lemonade is growing at over 30% annually and expects even higher growth next year. They can continue scaling with existing employees by getting more output from them, without proportional headcount increases. - Insurance industry context: The industry is worth trillions and isn’t disappearing. New pure software/coding companies won’t easily enter due to the need for billions in capital reserves, regulations, etc. - AI’s impact on roles and the workforce (as someone responsible for HR): - People naturally fear for their jobs. - She can’t promise lifelong employment in the same roles (that would be a ā€œstupid lieā€). - Roles are changing dramatically: AI now handles many tasks once done by humans; people are shifting to architecture, strategy, oversight, training, and upskilling. - Advice: Embrace new technologies, get on the train early, experiment, and adapt. No need to fear—just jump in. The company prides itself on its ability to change. - Why insurance is exceptionally well-suited for AI: Insurance is fundamentally a statistical model for risk assessment and pricing. More data enables greater accuracy and precision. - Shift from traditional to behavior-based pricing: Traditional auto insurance relies on demographics (e.g., age, gender—young drivers pay high rates due to perceived recklessness). Lemonade uses telematics and AI for real behavior-based pricing (how people actually drive), enabling better, faster, and more accurate service. This helps restore trust in an industry currently ā€œhatedā€ worldwide. - Autonomous vehicles and the Tesla partnership: - They launched a collaboration with Tesla offering a 50% discount on insurance for Full Self-Driving (FSD) users. - Traditional insurance insures a person; here, they are insuring software/code. - ā€œOnly an insurance product built with AI can truly insure AIā€ (machine-to-machine interaction). - When Tesla releases FSD software updates, Lemonade can assess and re-price/insure the updated software accordingly. - Customers can file claims via their own AI agents. This will fundamentally transform (ā€œturn upside downā€) the industry. The interview emphasizes Lemonade’s AI-native model as a competitive advantage that drives efficiency, growth, innovation in insurance (especially for emerging tech like autonomous driving), and workforce adaptation—while positioning the company to rebuild trust in a massive, traditional industry. The article is a summary of her on-stage conversation rather than a verbatim transcript.
New interview with @EcksteinAdina in Hebrew. I haven’t tried to listen to or translate yet, but if you understand Hebrew please listen and post your highlights. calcalist.co.il/conferences/…
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The latest NHTSA report has just come in. Tesla reported one new incident this month. It occurred earlier in April, when the Robotaxi was stopped and rear-ended by a truck. Tesla is therefore not at fault. The previous report already listed two other incidents in March in which the Robotaxi was also stationary and rear-ended. As a result, there have been zero incidents since the beginning of February 2026 in which the Robotaxi was at fault. Let that sink in! Zero incidents where FSD was at fault for the last four months (June’s data will be released next month). I’ve attached a simplified view of the NHTSA data if you’d like more details. @elonmusk @aelluswamy Amazing job! You guys are cooking!
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This is the best general article that I’ve read on the topic of SpaceX.
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European Transport & Mobility public officials should get their butts in seats ASAP The best remedy for retardation and EDS
Breaking on Belga Press: Minister Annick De Ridder is testing FSD by herself! The proof of the pudding is the eating, isn’t it?
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Replying to @cdu_thueringen
Ihr fragt die Unternehmen doch auch nicht, wenn ihr die ganzen beschissenen Entscheidungen trefft, die unser Land ruinieren.
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šŸ‡ÆšŸ‡µ FUNNIEST THING: Japanese fans ran onto the famous Shibuya Crossing in Tokyo for 40 seconds to celebrate the 2:2 tie against the Netherlands. They ran onto the crossing only for 40 seconds while it was green! The Japanese DID NOT BREAK TRAFFIC RULES! After the light turned red, everyone went back and stopped the celebration. They did not even break the traffic rules for this moment. lol
šŸ‡ÆšŸ‡µā€¼ļø JAPAN PRIDE CELEBRATION: Japanese football fans celebrated ā€œJapan Prideā€ with trash bags at the stadium! The fans happily cleaned the stadium after the game! Love it! More of that please.
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wondering if I should make a rebuttal article on EVwire.com. We've debunked Reuters before...
Jun 15
Exclusive: Tesla presented misleading ā€˜Full Self-Driving’ safety data to European regulators reut.rs/4vde8bN reut.rs/4vde8bN
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Replying to @Reuters
Another hit piece. Europe wide FSD approval must be imminent. Thanks for informing me by making me read between the lines šŸ™šŸ˜‚
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ETSC just published ā€œTesla approval pushes Europe towards a road safety cliff edgeā€ 🚨 Translation: the RDW did their job properly and ETSC doesn’t like it at all Someone already sent them a point by point rebuttal and I freaking love it Let’s go through it 🧵
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$TSLA 🚨 ETSC's Organizational Rejects Tesla's Introduction to FSD Europe The European Transportation Safety Council has written to transport ministers in major European countries not to acknowledge Tesla's approval of FSD. The Netherlands, Belgium, Lithuania, Estonia and Denmark, which have already been approved, have been excluded, and other member states are talking about rejecting it because the country will soon have a decision on whether to approve it or not. Tesla's FSD safety has already been proven incredibly much, and with that data, this move by the ETSC is disappointing, and the delay in the introduction of FSD will create a major setback for the safety of public roads. @elonmusk
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one of Zlatan's finest
šŸšØšŸ—£ļøNew: Zlatan Ibrahimovic on Vinicius Junior refusing the mandatory halftime interview with FIFA at the World Cup: ā€œPeople are shocked that VinĆ­cius walked away from a halftime interview. I am shocked that anyone thinks he should have stopped in the first place. Halftime is not a television studio. Halftime is not a podcast. Halftime is not a red carpet. Halftime is the heartbeat of a football match. For 45 minutes, players are warriors in a storm. They run, they fight, they suffer, they bleed. Then they get 15 precious minutes to recover, to breathe, to listen, to think. And FIFA wants to spend part of that time chasing soundbites? That is like pulling a Formula 1 driver out of his car during a pit stop and asking him how the race is going. And FIFA’s idea is to shove a microphone in the player’s face and ask, ā€˜How do you feel?’ How do you think he feels? He’s exhausted. This is modern football’s biggest disease. Everything is content. Everything is sponsorship. Everything is television. The match hasn’t even finished and they’re already trying to manufacture headlines. They tell us they care about player welfare. Really? Then why are players playing more games than ever? Why are tournaments expanding? Why are injuries increasing? And now they want halftime interviews too? The hypocrisy is unbelievable. Halftime is sacred. It belongs to the players and the coaches. That’s where games are won. That’s where tactics change. That’s where injuries get treated. That’s where leaders speak. It is not a media circus. And don’t tell me this is for the fans. Fans want better football, not a tired player giving a robotic 20-second answer because somebody sold another broadcast package. VinĆ­cius understood that. He chose football over public relations. The funniest part? They threaten him with a fine. A fine. As if that changes the principle. If I were there, I’d pay it too. Because some things are worth more than money. If FIFA really had their way, they’d put microphones in the dressing room and call it innovation. Football should come first. Not content. Not commercials. Not corporate greed. For once, a player pushed back. And that’s exactly why so many people are angry.ā€
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My favorite content of the $SPCX IPO week: Politicians that have run their countries anywhere from 5 to 50 trillion into debt criticize and demonize a guy who made it to 1T combined valuation, talk about it as if it is cash, and completely ignore how he and his people contributed several % of GDP, taxes and made many other people billionaires or millionaires in the process by giving them a share in the company. Like E literally practiced "Sharing the means of production" (a leftist ideal) and the very same leftists now hate him for it. Because they never truly meant it, as it means loss of control. The SPCX IPO wasn't so much a normal "going public", but more turns out to be a global vote of what people think actually works.
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🚨 $MU Huge News for the Memory Industry Micron signed its first-ever 5-year Strategic Customer Agreement, moving well beyond the typical one-year deal. Samsung and SK Hynix are following suit, pursuing 3 to 5 year contracts with major tech firms. Longer commitments mean smoother cycles, better visibility, and critically a path toward PE expansion as the PEG ratio moves closer to 1.0. For decades, memory has been defined by cycles but this may finally be changing. Multi-year commitments create revenue visibility that one-year deals simply can't. It marks a fundamental change in how memory is sold. Unlike traditional one-year arrangements, these multi-year commitments bring predictable revenue, improved operational stability, and a structural dampening of the boom-bust cycles that have historically kept PE multiples compressed. It has begun
So what's up with Micron Technology $MU? Why did so many analysts lower the price targets but still rated it as Bullish? A bit contradicting isn't it? Well, here's the answer. The DRAM spot prices have been mostly flat. The 'recovery' didn't come as soon as they initially thought. They are humans too and got euphoric too early. Remember, many predicted the rates to happen earlier this year instead of last week. The rates have a lot of influence to cyclicals. There is also this thing called DRAM contract prices which is different from spot prices. Contracts as the name implies, is an agreement between Micron and the buyer. These contract prices have actually gone up 5-10% which is bullish for Micron for near term BUT.. the next wave of contracts might be neutral as spot prices has been mostly flat, a good indicator for DRAM demand. So why do companies make contracts? Two reasons: it's more predictable in their balance sheet which in turn is acts as a hedge against unexpected DRAM price fluctuations. My suspicion is that the contract prices got inflated early this year due to the whole AI and Rate Cut euphoria and companies rushed in to make DRAM contracts before it goes up 'too much' So while DRAM contracts may not be a problem for Q4 (Weds), it's an uncertainty for Q1/Q2 2025. The recovery is on its way but the rate cuts didn't happen until just a week ago. I don't know how fast the the benefits of rate cuts will materialize to DRAM prices. So what else can $MU do? Answer: SHIP a TON of HBM (Super Fast AI Memory) to $NVDA, $AMD and $AVGO. In Q3 Micron made about $100M in HBM sales. I am expecting about $200-300M in Q4 HBM sales and I am guessing $400-500M for Q1 2025. HBM is orders of magnitude more expensive than DRAM and its highly margin accreditive (it adds shit ton of earnings per share). They are expecting billions for 2025 and having more than $NVDA as its customer base will help to re-negotiate the prices to a more premium (10% more in 2025). Furthermore, over the last 2 quarters, Micron has been making huge improvements on HBM wafer yields (as all semi companies do over time) and this will add extra margin to their dollars. The market reaction will be all about guidance. The double beat is a requirement. It's already baked in. So IF Micron is able to surprise the market with a huge HBM sales guidance for the next a couple of quarters, market could react positively. I think elevated DRAM contract prices will not come until 2nd half of 2025. Neutral DRAM Bullish HBM could move the needle. On our charts, $MU is still BLUE candled, meaning its bullish cycle remains intact. Remember playing earnings can be nerve-wracking even if you have a high conviction. I am long in $MU, we are not selling until DRAM prices have fully recovered.
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Replying to @Mxnu1893
finde jemanden der dich so liebt wie nagelsmann leroy sane :D
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This isn’t right. @YouTubeCreators @YouTube @TeamYouTube @nealmohan Please reinstate @CuriousPejjy’s channel.
Here's the clip that apparently terminated my YouTube channel. While livestreaming about the SpaceX IPO, I tried to share what I believed was the official livestream of the SpaceX IPO ceremony. I clicked on a video on YouTube that appeared to be legitimate live coverage. Afterall, it was apparently on the offical Nasdaq YT channel. After playing it for about 20 seconds, I realized it was an AI deepfake, so I immediately stopped it and told my viewers it was fake. My only intention was to show the real ceremony to my audience. As soon as I noticed the issue, I clicked off. I’ve learned from this experience and will be much more careful when selecting and verifying content before going live. That said, I believe terminating the entire channel for an unintentional mistake was quite severe. I would appreciate it if you could review and reconsider this decision. @YouTubeCreators @YouTube @TeamYouTube @nealmohan Please reinstate my channel.
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RT @mattdykema: We worked 16–18 hour shifts producing the first versions of the Falcon 9 thrusters. To this day, it is still the hardest m…
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