navigating the curve

Joined January 2017
1,147 Photos and videos
Reminder to cancel your ESPN streaming after now that the NBA is done.
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$BTC vol will go down over time, but I think it's just going to be a nice, slow up and to the right chart over time. All you've got to do is nothing.
Just in case anyone didn’t understand that this BTC selloff is mostly a capital rotation story and not BTC-specific. Very easy to click “sell IBIT” in the brokerage account to free up funds for this. In the long term, BTC will continue to greatly benefit from creation of an ETF. It also becomes more susceptible to short-term capital rotations by mainstream investors. This rotation should slow (may have already started in the past day) then eventually reverse.
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.@pumpcade coded
Ansem gives advice on what to look for in the BEAR market "I would say that this current juncture in crypto where a lot of people have a negative perception of crypto, is usually when the best opportunities arise - and when you should be doing the most research, because it's just how how things work" "the smart people who are building these products, before the marketing of these products happened, and then once the marketing of these products happen is when the average person ends up finding out about them"
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I would say something crypto has that no other market has is it's characters. I can't leave because it is, by FAR, the most entertaining industry out of all that is listed. The comedy and the scandals we've been through are hard to separate from.
the thing i’m wrestling with: i don’t know how much longer i should devote the majority of my attention to crypto. here’s the pull in one direction. crypto has spent the last few years getting lapped. ai stocks, the supply chain around them, quantum, space, robotics, even prediction markets and retail just trading on robinhood. all of it has pulled in the speculation money that used to come here, and a lot of it has put up better returns with less insanity than 99% of coins. if you bought almost any “real” crypto project in 2025 you’re probably down or round tripped. so the rational move looks like: spend time/attention where the money’s going. here’s what pulls me back, and it’s the part i don’t see people say out loud. i’ve spent eight plus years here. every day, charts, metas, lurking ct, watching how narratives run and break and run again. i’m not the best at this and i get plenty wrong. but i’m not starting from zero either. if i switch to ai or quantum or space stocks, i give all of that up. i’d be starting empty. no feel, no pattern library, no edge. and the names i’d be chasing have already run 5 to 10x. which, if you read my last post, is the exact mistake i just made on zec. buying after the ground floor’s built, walking in on the third or fourth floor and calling it an entry. i’d be doing the same thing, except blind this time, in an industry where i can’t tell a good foundation from a bad one yet. so that’s the actual rub. it’s not “which asset class is better.” it’s: do i stay in the arena i know is past its “easy” days but where i feel like i have some edge, or walk into hotter arenas where i have none and everything good already ran? and to be clear, i’m not in crypto because i have to. i have money parked in stocks. i stay involved in crypto because i like the puzzle. the competition. the people. the fact that after eight years this is the one arena where i walk in feeling like i actually know the room. that’s not nothing, and it’s most of why i’m still here. but being comfortable in crypto today doesn’t mean im doing what could be best for my family’s future. every extra dollar i make equals more freedom down the road for my kids. i don’t have the clean answer. i flip flop on this weekly. if you’ve been here long enough to feel the same thing, you already know how uncomfortable it is. *this is a classic “bottom” post*
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- McCafe on eating his own dick - Rugging Argentina / Libra - 1) What - What are you gonna do, arrest me? - @PeterSchiff saying that he slept with "many underage girls" - your size is not size. - @SECGov gets hacked and posts a fake ETF headline
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Crazy to think that most people worked for these yachts.
Instead of hating, ask yourself what you’re doing today which will allow you to buy one of these boats for your family in 5 years. #RisingDynasty No one’s going to knock on your door and give you the keys to one of these boats because you sat around all day watching Netflix
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The next big $BTC, $ETH, $SOL narrative hasn’t even been thought of yet.
Right now crypto investors are quietly jealous of AI, SpaceX. What is easy for anyone to forget, is that overnight success stories are usually a decade or two in the making. SpaceX was founded in 2002. Almost died many times. OpenAI was founded in 2015; ChatGPT was launched 7 years later; has almost died many times even in the last 18 months. Bitcoin was created in 2009, Ethereum 2015, Solana 2018, Hyperliquid 2024. Transformational technology stories don't plat out in a month or a quarter. And it's never a straight line — all have moments in the sun, and moments in the storm. If your goal as an investor is to own the most important technology platforms of the future, you should expect winding journies, measured in decades.
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The most relaxing way to hold these digital assets is to rid your mind of the price and look at the 200D moving average as the fair value. It’s an incredibly honest number.
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We must stop pointing at these guys as confirmation of our biases. Traders have a role in this industry and it’s self interested. That’s fine. I can’t help but notice how much more content these days is around trades or traders than builders or people with a vision.
Replying to @zachxbt
Not sure what you mean brah. I sold to a willing seller at a price. Prices could be higher and then I would be called a dumb ass. I just happened to call it right this time as it regards to my trading goals.
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What’s going on here?
“Greeny you’ve been such a bear” Yeah. Correctly. I didn’t short every major swing of this market because I hate crypto (you know I love it). I shorted it because price kept making lower highs, liquidity kept fading and every “new bull market” bounce looked like exit liquidity. The lesson is boring but undefeated: stop trading your bias and start trading what price is actually doing.
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DCA and limit order gang, our time is now!
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Guy that said new paradigm is upon us at $126k is now saying we're going to $44k
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$BTC is under the 200W MA.
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optimism will prevail.
I am not a trader. Idk the perfect times to buy and sell. But I can tell you that optimists will always make more than pessimists. And right now, I am as optimistic as ever on crypto.
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first limit order has hit $BTC
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Still don't really thing $ZEC had anything to begin with. At least, not over $BTC.
Replying to @torvaman_
This is also not a price prediction on any timeline. A trade could easily prove to be a great idea, I just don’t understand $ZEc as an enduring asset.
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It's not.
This is worse than the 2022 bear market when FTX collapsed I’ve never seen so many people convinced it’s over…
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"I literally sold because it was going down increasingly. I don’t know who wouldn’t do that."
I just dumped my entire $HYPE and $NEAR position, I will explain why in my essay "Reality Test" dropping next Tuesday. TLDR: - Higher energy prices due to Iran war and inventory restocking - 3 Mega AI IPOs between now and early Q3 - Prediction that Trump goes anti-AI to win mid-terms for Republicans - I think highs in mrkts will happen btw now and September - Time to take profit, and two-step in beefa without worrying about my positions
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This guy has 1.3M followers and has spouted utter non-sense for at least 4 years since he came across my feed for the first time.
The bad news : Crypto is the worst thing on earth right now. The good news : If it ever comes back, any buys the past few months will print back breaking gains. Darkest before the dawn or some shit like that.
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