Chinese girl： “要不要出来喝咖啡？” ABC boy： “你大姨妈第几天了？” 东亚恋爱： ☕→💕→📊 北美恋爱： 📊→📈→📉→☕

*trillioniare

#NewProfilePic my own digital twin

美股大热IPO收益表 首年平均高点回撤55%, 上头梭哈前必看

Most people think the AI buildout is just a couple of stocks – Memory, CPU, GPU, NeoClouds, Photonics.. $SNDK, $MU, $ARM $INTC, $AMD, $NBIS, $LITE, $AAOI, $TSEM, $SIVE The reality is there’s so much more to it.. I built a complete map of the AI buildout – at least the one I’ve been trading around for the last year.. I put that map on my Substack… 12 layers deep. Since I’ve seen it circulating on here, I’ll just post it myself. The hard part isn’t knowing the full stack – it’s making sense of it. Why is photonics down today but memory isn’t? Why is CPO so relevant in the AI buildout? Bullish AF on AI infrastructure. Go check out the full article for free on my Substack, and if you’re going to share it – please do, but link back to my article. Here is the link: open.substack.com/pub/rensub… Let’s go find the next 1000% stock ⚡️⚡️

$MU, $SNDK, and $DRAM (memory ETF). Memory is crucial. Without memory, AI can NOT scale and function. We are STILL so early. We STILL have Agentic AI (right now) -> PHYSICAL AI (year 2027 robots) -> GENERAL AI (year 2028) -> SUPER-INTELLIGENCE (year 2030 and beyond). A lot of you have asked WHEN and WHERE to buy memory stocks. 1. Probing position -> this is a starter position. This is to test the waters and reduce FOMO. At this level, markets are neutral. Relief rally territory that can turn into all-time highs or fail and head lower. So you buy small and see, and be flexible. 2. Build position -> this is where it makes sense to build a nice chunk. It's at great levels to be happier psychologically. This is when you're okay with whatever fate happens. Fair price. 3. Buy big -> this is where you can buy big time. CONVICTION. In whatever case, RED is temporary. Let's make millions together.

SEMICONDUCTOR STOCKS BY PEG RATIO PEG < 1 usually means mispriced growth PEG > 2 starts to push into the danger zone Here’s how they stack up: • $ALAB ~2.9x • $ARM ~2.4x • $INTC ~2.2x • $LRCX ~2.2x • $KLAC ~2.0x • $AMAT ~1.7x • $ASML ~1.7x • $ANET ~1.7x • $TSM ~1.2x • $LITE ~1.1x • $COHR ~1.0x • $CRDO ~0.9x • $NVDA ~0.8x • $AMD ~0.7x • $AAOI ~0.7x • $MRVL ~0.6x • $ON ~0.6x • $AVGO ~0.6x • $SNDK ~0.4x • $MU ~0.4x

Donald Trump told reporters that his team might buy US stakes in artificial-intelligence companies and said he would host a meeting with AI executives as soon as next week reut.rs/4uV9zmg

S&P 500 將於6月22日開盤前新增兩隻股票。 納入：Marvell Technology $MRVL 納入：Flex $FLEX 剔除：Pool Corp $POOL 剔除：Campbell's Company $CPB Two new stocks will be added to the S&P 500 before the market opens on June 22. Inclusion: Marvell Technology $MRVL Inclusion: Flex $FLEX Removal: Pool Corp $POOL Removal: Campbell's Company $CPB

For people who are worried about the market today, I get it. This stuff is very stressful. So I put together a chart of all of the times the VIX (the "fear index" of the market) was up over 30% in a day (like today) in the past ten years. 23 out of 25 instances the market was higher one month later. The only two times it wasn't was Feb 2020 when Covid hit the economy in March 2020. What is the underlying message? When people are afraid, they make bad decisions. Do the opposite. Attached is a chart summarizing my results.

Where did we say bearish MU? The note on their HBM delay literally said it was good because regular DDR margins are higher than HBM. But you wouldn't know that because you didn't actually read our note.

📈 Forward Industries deposited 455,784 $SOL ($31.87M) to Coinbase Prime after a month of inactivity. The company's Solana treasury strategy is now underwater by ~$𝟭.𝟭𝟯𝗕 — they bought 6.83M SOL at $232 average, now worth $458.6M. Explorer: arkm.com/explorer/entity/for… 𝗛𝘂𝗽𝘇𝘆 𝘁𝗮𝗸𝗲: A distribution signal from a treasury company sitting on massive paper losses. Coinbase Prime points toward OTC or structured selling rather than spot dumping, but the overhang remains. If other SOL treasury companies follow, the crowded late-2025 SOL treasury trade could unwind fast. --source: x.com/lookonchain/status/206… Track real-time signals & trade → hupzy.com/trending

$AVGO 的财报揭示了以下现实，以及定制芯片业务为啥是一个可能超过 GPU的业务： 定制AI加速器收入增速高达143%，目前以占总收入222亿的将近60%，以这个增速下去，可能在2030年获得超过 $NVDA 的收入。 定制芯片业务的利润率只有55%-60%，低于半导体行业大约75%-80%的利润水平，也低于自身约70%的利润率。 然而该业务是有点类似于ToB的业务，博通只管造出来，不需要管理库存、营销、维修和研发。所以业务风险小得多。 所以这就是为什么 $AVGO PE那么高， $MRVL 的未来光明的原因。因为他们正在孵化一个比 $NVDA 的GPU更大的金蛋。

我把Serenity和Crux这两个美股狂魔，蒸馏成了一个自动投研的Agent 上周我扒了 Serenity（@aleabitoreddit）的 1073 条推文，5 个月 32 倍。 这次我又扒了第二个人——Crux Capital（@crux_capital_），五个月 647 条原帖，126 个价值票。 Serenity窄而深：找一个制胜点，押死。 Crux 宽而有纪律：画一张六层栈，每层按执行力排仓位。 看完我有点难受，不是因为收益图太夸张。是我发现，这两个人干的根本不是传统意义上的“选股”。 他们是在搭一条投研流水线， AI 负责搬砖，人负责最后拍板。 1⃣ 他们的方法论：先拆机器，再找堵点 他们看一个赛道，不先问“谁会涨”。 先问的是： 这台机器到底长什么样？ BOM 里最难替代的零件是什么？ 如果其中一家明天停产，下游要等多久？ 这个问题一问出来，视角就完全变了。 大家还在盯 GPU、HBM、电力这些第一层热点时， 他们已经往下抠第二层、第三层： 激光器、InP 衬底、外延、测试、连接、冷却、配电…… Serenity 最狠的地方，是死盯单点故障。 Crux 更像工程师，先画一整张栈，再给每层贴标签： 谁是龙头， 谁是瓶颈， 谁只是会讲故事， 谁又是那种没人聊、但每台机器都得用的“无聊必需品”。 2⃣AI 在他们手里，不是军师，是苦力 普通人用 AI 做投资，喜欢问： “这票能买吗？” “帮我总结一下财报。” “这个赛道有没有机会？” 这种问法，说到底还是在等答案。 他们不是这么用的，他们让 AI 去干最脏最累的活： 拆机器， 顺着零件找供应商， 再找供应商的供应商， 横着读多家公司财报和电话会， 把“产能打满”“认证快结束”“明年放量”这些零碎信号拼成一张图。 说白了，AI 没替他们赚钱，AI 只是把研究量的上限硬抬上去了。 3⃣所以我把这套东西蒸馏成了一个 skill github.com/qiuqiubuchongle-c… 它不干一件很俗的事：上来就给你甩股票代码。 它先跑五步： L1 先确认终端，到底研究的是哪台机器、哪套系统 L2 再画供应链栈，搞清楚谁在第几层 L3 找真正的卡点，卡的是产能、认证、热、电、良率，还是材料 L4 用财报、产业新闻、研报交叉验证 L5 先给方向，再给名字，最后才谈仓位 我蒸馏的不是他们买了什么，我蒸馏的是他们怎么提问，怎么排除，怎么把热闹拆成一个个能验证的环节。 4⃣举个例子，人形机器人接下来该买什么 大部分人第一反应都是特斯拉、英伟达、总龙头。 但这个 skill 不会先看这些。 它会先问： 如果 Optimus 真开始放量，最先紧张的是哪一层？ 如果谐波减速器已经被市场盯得很紧， 那下一步就该继续往旁边看： 每个关节都离不开的力传感器，有没有被认真定价？ 重点不是马上得出“买谁”。 重点是先知道：你该查哪一层。 顺着这套方法继续往后推， 我现在最想深挖的，反而不是更拥挤的 GPU 叙事。 而是AI factory 的供电 液冷 物理交付层。 原因很简单。 芯片再猛，电接不进去也白搭。 柜子再多，热散不掉也白搭。 模型再聪明，机房交不出来，还是得排队。 这条线不性感，不热闹，也不太适合吹牛。 但真缺了它，项目就只能往后拖。 最后 看完 Serenity 和 Crux，我最大的感受其实挺扎心的： AI 没有让投研变轻松。 它只是先把偷懒的人淘汰了。 以后谁再跟我说 “AI 会让投资越来越简单” 我大概只会回一句： 简单个屁，马太效应罢了，你有的他给你更多，你没有的，他把你已有的都给抢走。

This is an excellent interview btw Nicolai (Norwegian Sovereign Wealth Fund CEO) asks the IBM CEO if AI a bubble Listen very very carefully to his answer

所以现在受sec监管了？

2 years ago, I called out $ASTS at $2. Its up 6500% so far at $130. My target at least $200 when $SPCX IPOs. Right now, $ORCL is the most obvious play. Its earnings is on June 10 then $MU on June 24. This year, I explained these would 10x-20x: $INTC — $AAPL chip deal foundry turnaround tripled the stock in months (Trump) $DELL — Pentagon contract AI server orders created a multi-catalyst monster (Trump) $MU — HBM memory sold out through 2026, AI supercycle just getting started (Trump) $NOW — Enterprise AI agents replacing entire IT workflows, 22% revenue growth accelerating (Trump) $PLTR — Government commercial AI contracts exploding, revenue up 56% in 2025 (Trump call) $TE — nuclear power is the only answer to AI's insatiable electricity demand (Leopold call) ♻️ RESHARE this post and write 1 comment, I'll DM you my exact 1000% play for $ORCL

When you go buy a Dell laptop bundle only to find out that the CPU is Intel, the RAM is Micron, the GPU is AMD, the internal Hard Drive is Seagate, the external Hard Drive is Western Digital, and they toss in a bonus SD Card that is SanDisk. It all makes sense now... It all makes sense.

ice (owner of nyse) out w a take on hyperliquid tldr: you are reading the horse and carriage reaction to the model t $hype 200

We've raised $65 billion in Series H funding at a $965 billion post-money valuation, led by @AltimeterCap, Dragoneer, @Greenoaks, and @sequoia. This investment will help us advance our research and expand our capacity to meet growing demand for Claude.