💥Iran had previously already said there would be no signing today
JUST IN: Trump said the deal would be signed today. Then Israel bombed Beirut, and Iran found a way to kill the deal without ever touching it.
Here is the trap. Iran cannot walk away. Its oil exports have collapsed from 2.1 million barrels a day before the war to under 300,000 in May, a $5.8 billion hit in two months. A country bleeding that fast does not get to be the side that torches a peace deal. So Iran does not torch it.
Instead it lets the proxy do the work. Israeli jets hit Hezbollah in Dahiyeh today, three dead, six wounded, hours after the White House put a signing on the calendar. Israel says it was answering Hezbollah fire and gave CENTCOM a heads-up first. Iran’s chief negotiator, parliament speaker Ghalibaf, needed one sentence: the strike proves Washington “lacks the will or the ability” to keep its word, so continuing “is not possible.”
Watch the move, not the missiles. Iran did not blame Israel. It blamed America. Every Israeli strike becomes proof that Washington cannot control its own ally, which means the deal dies of American weakness, not Iranian sabotage. Tehran keeps its economy’s last lifeline, the sanctions relief it desperately needs, on the table for the next round, and walks away from this one with clean hands.
Israel, which says it is not even a party to this deal and was not asked before the announcement, just has to keep doing what it already wanted to do.
Trump’s whole hand rested on one bet: everyone wanted the deal more than he did. Israel just called it. You cannot sign a peace your closest ally is busy bombing.