I expected the Strait to be open by the end of April, and was wrong. So why was I wrong? Because Iran calculated that Trump would walk away in order to keep the price of gas down and his chances in the midterms up. That may be correct. The markets have priced in a relatively quick resolution of the conflict too. The UK is sending a warship to the Strait to assist with reopening by force.
If Iran doesn't make a deal here is what I think will happen next. There will be a US effort to force the Strait open, renewed but limited bombing to reduce Iran's capacity to interfere in the Strait, and eventually an International coalition. But it will take time, traffic won't resume at normal levels for several months, the Bull year will be over, and the Democrats will have a better shot at taking both houses.
This doesn't amount to an Iranian victory, but it does amount to a loss for Trump in particular, and a loss for everyone waiting for gas prices to go down.
pretty sure the game has run out.....we can expect Trump to do his usual Sunday "we have had great discussions and are close to a deal" bullshit tomorrow, but the markets aren't buying it anymore
Iran has choked Trump, and is in total control of the situation
and we and the world, are going to suffer
Not gonna lie......waiting on Iran regime to outright call for Trumps unconditional surrender lol