Clear eyes. Full hearts. Can’t lose.

Joined July 2013
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Why are we winning the battles but losing the war? Because US foreign policy is driven by Trump solipsism, a pathological self-centeredness that treats other people and nations as pawns and idiots. "But I Did Have Breakfast" No paywall on this one. panoptica.com/but-i-did-have…
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USA. A breakfast counter. The waitress recommended the biscuits and gravy, and when the plate arrived, I thought something had gone wrong in the kitchen. I say this with shame. The dish looked like a construction site after rain. Pale mounds. Gray ladle-fall. Speckles I could not identify. In my land, the eye eats first. A meal is arranged like a garden. This meal was arranged like weather. "Is it… finished?" I asked, carefully. "Honey, that's what it looks like." The man beside me was already eating his. He did not look up. "Just try it." I am a man who has charged hillsides at dawn. I raised the fork. I tried it. I must now formally apologize to the biscuits, the gravy, the waitress, the kitchen, and the entire breakfast tradition of the American South. It was magnificent. Warm. Peppered. The biscuit drank the gravy the way a field drinks rain — THAT is why it is shaped like that, you fool — and every mound I had insulted was a soft fold of comfort that my homeland, in eight hundred years, never once thought to invent. "Well?" the waitress asked. "I judged it," I confessed. "By its appearance. I am ashamed." "Everybody does, hon." Everybody does. A national dish that forgives you for doubting it. It expects the doubt. It waits for you on the other side of it. Do not judge the gravy by its face. Judge yourself, for hesitating. I order it every Saturday now. I no longer see the construction site. I see only the garden. It was a garden the whole time. The eye must be trained.
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This website is free.
USA. A Mexican restaurant. We had not yet ordered anything, and the food was already arriving. Chips. Salsa. Unrequested. Free. I stopped the waiter. "We have not earned these." "They just come with the table, man." They come with the TABLE. In my land, hospitality is a debt. Every gift creates an obligation, weighed carefully, returned in the proper season with interest of feeling. Here, the gift arrives before you have even proven you can pay for dinner. This is not an appetizer. This is a declaration: we trust you. Eat. I ate with the gravity the moment deserved. And then — I must report this calmly — the basket emptied, and a new one appeared. "Did we…?" "Refill," the waiter said. "It's bottomless." Bottomless. They have wells of salsa. The supply lines of this nation are beyond anything my ancestors imagined. My friend warned me. "Don't fill up on chips, dude." Too late. I had accepted three baskets. Honor demanded each one be finished — an unfinished gift is an insult. By the time my actual food arrived, I was a ruined man. I was not hungry. I was not comfortable. I had been defeated by a courtesy. Generosity that arrives before the request cannot be repaid. It can only be survived. I know the rule now. I have made my peace with the basket. One basket. Two at the most. Who am I deceiving. There is no number of baskets I would refuse. The trust of a nation is in that salsa, and I intend to honor all of it.
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Ben Hunt retweeted
if you want to listen/watch Rusty's episode anywhere else, just search for Epsilon Theory on your podcast player of choice. Here's the YouTube link: youtu.be/RGT4riUgBvY?si=3Ypb…
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“Straining Ceasefire” At this point, the language choices to preserve this market illusion are just comical.
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"Waterboarding Used to Be a Crime" washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/co…
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“Why would any country at this point agree to a phased ceasefire… mindful of the track record that Israel and the United States have in Lebanon and in Gaza, in which these ceasefires have been violated within minutes by the Israelis without any repercussions from the U.S." Trita Parsi youtube.com/watch?v=dUyJubRB…
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Depends how violent the ‘adjustment’ in WTI is, I think. We live in a cartoon world (using the word ‘cartoon’ in the technical sense), so a crazy squeeze in WTI-as-a-thing would have huge repercussions across all fin’l markets. I think.
Cushing hit ~20MM in January 2025 - no geopolitical backdrop, obviously - but cant this just mean an adjustment in front-month WTI and Cushing becoming more valuable relative to Midlands and Houston? Does it need to signal some leap in crude?
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Ben Hunt retweeted
Replying to @EpsilonTheory
In the Marshall Plan the west won the war first.
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Cushing’s got what, another week left at this rate? @chigrl @CommodMkt
API whoa Crude -9.1MM Gasoline -1.2MM Distillates 1.3MM Cushing -1.1MM
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TRUMP HINTS AT MARSHALL PLAN-STYLE IRAN RECONSTRUCTION, BUT SAYS THE US WOULD TAKE HALF OF IRAN'S OIL IN RETURN. - ABC NEWS
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Ben Hunt retweeted
Do you need media training? Well, if you want to perform in the theater of the mind... @DaveNadig is here to help. New JUST PRESS RECORD on @Panoptica_ai @EpsilonTheory:
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Ben Hunt retweeted
We are very excited to welcome Ben Hunt as a featured speaker at the 2026 Stansberry Conference & Alliance Meeting! 🔗: sbry.media/4flolh5 Ben Hunt is president and co-founder of Perscient, an AI research firm and software company that pioneered the use of language models and unstructured data analysis for investment strategies. He is also the author of @EpsilonTheory, a newsletter and website that examines markets through the lens of narrative. He joins an outstanding lineup of guest speakers, editors, and analysts who will take the stage at the beautiful ARIA Resort & Casino in Las Vegas. Don’t miss out — secure your spot today: sbry.media/4flolh5 🗓️: Sept. 28-30
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Ben Hunt retweeted
Replying to @jan_murray
Thanks for your critique, Janet. We actually tried a couple of episodes where House (Hugh Laurie) (please put the brackets in the right place) gets it right first time, but they were only 6 minutes long. NBC weren’t happy. Then we tried some where House never gets it right and the patient dies. The audience wasn’t happy. One could apply your trenchant analysis to other art forms: JS Bach wrote 30 Goldberg variations on the same chord structure; Frida Kahlo painted 50 portraits of herself; Henry Moore, what?? The point is, or was, variations on a theme; if all you see is hospital, medical blah blah, then it wasn’t meant for you. Nonetheless, I look forward to your first novel!
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Ben Hunt retweeted
Jun 5
A guy calls his broker and asks about egg futures. Broker says they’re at 25 cents. Guy says, “Alright, buy me 100 contracts.” A week later he calls again. Broker says, “Good call. They’re at 35 cents now.” Guy gets excited and buys 1,000 more. Few days later, he calls again. Eggs are at 50 cents. Now he thinks he’s a genius, so he buys 100,000 contracts. Next day they’re at 65 cents. He buys a million. Then they’re at 95 cents. He buys another million. Then $1.25. He buys another million. Next day, eggs are trading at $1.75. He finally thinks, alright, this is probably enough. Time to take profit. So he tells his broker, “Sell 2 million contracts.” After a long silence, broker finally says: “Sell to who? You’re the egg guy.”
It's official. MicroStrategy, $MSTR, is now facing its biggest unrealized loss in history, at -$10.8 billion. In other words, after 6 years of buying Bitcoin, the company is now down -17% on its position. By comparison, the S&P 500 is up 116% over this same timeframe. Since MicroStrategy sold 32 Bitcoin at $77,135 per coin, their positions has lost -$11.8 billion in value. This puts MicroStrategy's stock, $MSTR, down -77% since its record high. Bear market is an understatement.
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Ben Hunt retweeted
Recall that the tickers for the MSTR preferred shares are: MST F MST C MST K MST E MST D In the novel-writing business, we call this foreshadowing.
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Replying to @EpsilonTheory

This masterpiece, "President Trump Sleeping with the Coal People," was painted by Raphael in 1518.
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Ben Hunt retweeted
Imagine you’re playing a trading simulation game. There’s a parabolic rally in technology on an exciting new technology. The market is 3SD overweight infotech, and semis just did a 4SD rally, bigger than any semis rally in history. Now, a megatech company issues stock (after buying back stock for years), the largest IPO in history is on deck, momentum stalls, the Fed is going to hike (oops, we thought they were cutting), companies are worried about token costs, the biggest bitcoin and crypto bulls in the world are all selling, and a new Fed Chair is about to sit down and the market consensus is that he will be dovish despite roaring inflation and a strong U.S. jobs market. Do you go long or short the tech momentum basket?
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Loool. What are we doing here, people?
*TRUMP: NO REASON TO GET IRAN NUCLEAR DUST, IT'S ENTOMBED *TRUMP: NOT CONSIDERING COVERT OPERATION TO SEIZE IRAN URANIUM *TRUMP: WE HAVE POWERFUL CAMERAS WATCHING IRAN'S URANIUM
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