History, Strategy, Seapower, Statecraft. Proudly served as the Maritime Strategist to the 78th Secretary of the Navy. Be curious; when you can, be kind.

Joined September 2014
89 Photos and videos
Pinned Tweet
History demonstrates that: 1) No great naval power has long endured without also being a great commercial maritime power. 2) No great naval power has long endured that cannot build its own warships. 3) Ships win battles. Shipyards win wars.
2
10
36
3,583
Hunter Stires retweeted
Rhetoric over the Royal Navy has shifted to 'dead', 'elegy' & 'terminal decline'. It's somewhat misleading. When education of British national strategy was destroyed & active choices made, it led to this point. Plenty, warned. 'Fate' is a better word.
7
19
1,632
Hunter Stires retweeted
SURPRISE: 🇨🇳@Chinaembmanila is calling its new platform at #ScarboroughShoal a "scientific expedition" & accusing the 🇵🇭#Philippines of "stirring up trouble" for bringing it up. Wait ... let me show you my "shocked" face: 😲 Scarborough sits about 125 nm from Luzon, roughly 4 times closer to the Philippines than to #China. It's inside the Philippine exclusive economic zone, where Filipino fishermen worked its waters for generations until China seized the shoal in 2012 & began restricting access. But now the embassy reminds us again about China's "indisputable" & "inherent" right to whatever it claims. Golly, where have we heard that before? 🙄 (Bizarrely, Beijing also describes this as a "dispute" that should be resolved diplomatically--one of those two lines of argument is doing an awful lot of work.) 🤔 Over the past two years, Beijing has doubled its coast guard & militia presence at the shoal, and it now enforces an undeclared & illegal 30 nm exclusion zone that violates UNCLOS' freedom-of-navigation clauses (and thus the 2002 Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the #SouthChinaSea, which Beijing signed) & keeps Philippine vessels out. Most marine scientists don’t arrive with a large paramilitary cordon and a stack of talking points. If this is an environmental survey, at least we can understand why it's necessary. The damage done by over a decade of destructive PRC giant clam harvesting at Scarborough is depressingly well documented -- except by Beijing, which publishes glossy tributes to its environmental stewardship while denying access to anyone who might want to check its work. 🔥 What we have here is a classic case of gray-zone gaslighting: seize your neighbor’s fishing ground, blockade it -- oh, and while you're at it cause a high‑speed collision between two of your own ships while chasing a much smaller Philippine patrol boat operating in waters it used to sail freely -- and then scold your neighbor for being "provocative" when it has the temerity to point out what you’ve done. We all know this isn’t really about science. Sorry, but China has, by its actions, forfeited the benefit of the doubt. It's about expansionism. Full stop. 🛑 Wrapping a maritime occupation in the language of "science" and "conservation" doesn’t make it any less of an occupation. It does make for cute AI-generated social media rebuttals to @jaytaryela. So well done on that.
1. Huangyan Dao is China's inherent territory, and China has indisputable sovereignty over Huangyan Dao and its adjacent waters. China's activities, including scientific research, in the relevant waters are normal actions within the scope of its sovereignty, which are beyond reproach. 2. In recent years, the Philippine side has continuously stirred up trouble and provoked China in and around Huangyan Dao under the pretext of "transparency." The Philippine military and coast guard have even clamored for "retaking" Huangyan Dao, which is the very root cause of the escalation of tensions at sea. 3. The so-called "transparency" initiative is nothing but a pretext Mr. Tarriela uses to cherry-pick facts, manipulate public opinion and attack and smear China. China has repeatedly pointed out that if "transparency" is what Mr. Tarriela truly wants, then every time he goes on an attack, post the full facts that China has laid out right alongside it. But Mr. Tarriela plays deaf and dumb on that, never daring to respond, because presenting the full picture would instantly expose its fake "transparency" ploy. 4. China's position on addressing the maritime disputes with the Philippine side is consistent and clear. China remains committed to settling differences and managing the situation at sea through dialogue and consultation, and rejecting the amplification of differences through megaphone diplomacy. ——Deputy Spokesperson of the Chinese Embassy Guo Wei
16
142
265
9,520
Hunter Stires retweeted
The Ratio is your merchant hulls divided by your naval hulls. And since WWII it looks like this. Not good.
2
5
40
3,633
Hunter Stires retweeted
A maritime strategy without sound and useful metrics is just a wish in a pea coat. Ander Heiles proposes the Mahan Ratio, which compares military seapower to the merchant shipping and shipbuilding capacity that underpin it. warontherocks.com/the-mariti…
4
22
3,274
Hunter Stires retweeted
Sir Julian Corbett, who may have bested Clausewitz, died early from stress. He saw that decades of educating 'strategy by action' & 'thinking strategically' wouldn't be enough to counter those who seek to protect reputations, distort history, or advance their own agendas.
6
18
691
President Trump has posted that 100 Million barrels of oil are making its way through the Strait. This appears to be what is happening. ⚓️President Trump and @CENTCOM announced Project Freedom to escort ships through the Strait. The US evacuated two US ships but then curtailed the operation. ⚓️It appears that the US resumed the operation using autonomous vehicles, aircraft and drones to escort ships through the southern part of the Strait, near the coast of Oman. ⚓️Iran has responded with targeting of some ships, these include HMM Namu and CMA CGM San Antonio. The US has responded with airstrikes against Iran. ⚓️ What has transpired is tankers, including Very Large Crude Carriers are exiting the Persian Gulf. Then, per @TankerTrackers, the VLCCs are conducting ship-to-ship (STS) transfers to other tankers in the Gulf of Oman. ⚓️The empty tankers, which ran the Strait with their AIS, run back through the Strait to pick up a new load of oil from the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar or Iraq. ⚓️The Apache helicopter that recently crashed was probably a part of this operation. ⚓️This explains why we have not seen an appreciable drop in the number of ships stuck in the Persian Gulf. By running the same ships, war risk insurance, potentially provided by the US through the Development Finance Corporation (DFC) through a pool of approximately of $40 billion, could be covering these ships making the transits. ⚓️This would also explain the recent announcement by Kuwait to fix new contracts for its oil. ⚓️The question is how long is this sustainable and at what level is oil moving daily. With current pipelines through Saudi Arabia and the UAE, this system would need to move approximately 12-14M barrels/day through the Strait. This analysis is based on open source material, but big shout out to @TankerTrackers @Kpler @MarineTraffic @LloydsList @gCaptain for their postings and research.
140
511
1,910
310,848
We strongly condemn PRC’s unlawful actions in Taiwan’s eastern EEZ, including harassment of vessels exercising freedom of navigation. These actions violate intl’ law, threaten regional peace & stability, and seek to justify unlawful maritime harassment with fabricated pretexts.
219
162
630
29,268
Hunter Stires retweeted
If the structure inside Scarborough Shoal is occupied by people, then this is a critical moment. If China occupies Scarborough Shoal it will be a clear violation of the Declaration of Conduct and if the US does nothing, this will be the moment that Trump lost the South China Sea.
PRESS RELEASE Statement of the National Task Force for the West Philippine Sea 09 June 2026 | Manila, Philippines The National Task Force for the West Philippine Sea (NTF-WPS) confirms the information released by AFP Chief of Staff General Romeo S. Brawner Jr. yesterday regarding the presence of a floating structure in Bajo de Masinloc. Aerial monitoring by several agencies has confirmed the presence of a 6x6-meter floating structure with what appears to be an antenna. Latest imagery obtained by the AFP likewise shows the presence of personnel on top of the structure. Recent PCG monitoring further indicates that the platform is currently located within the shoal, with individuals observed onboard. The NTF-WPS is closely coordinating with relevant government agencies to monitor developments and further assess the nature, purpose, and implications of the installation and related activities within the shoal. Inter-agency efforts are ongoing to establish a complete and accurate picture of the situation. The Department of Foreign Affairs has already undertaken appropriate diplomatic action with the government of the People’s Republic of China in connection with the illegal presence of this floating structure. The protection of Philippine sovereignty, sovereign rights, and jurisdiction remains a paramount consideration. The Philippine Government will continue to take appropriate actions consistent with international law and in defense of the country's national interests. The NTF-WPS remains steadfast in upholding the rules-based international order, particularly the 1982 United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) and the 2016 Arbitral Award. We reiterate that Bajo de Masinloc is an integral part of the Philippines and falls within the country's maritime zones as recognized under international law. We encourage the public to rely on official government sources for verified information. Further updates will be provided when they become available. ###
32
52
138
15,835
Hunter Stires retweeted
For the first time ever, China has effectively made a sovereignty claim to a portion of the Pacific Ocean.
🚨THE BASHI BREAKOUT: 🇨🇳#China has, for the first time, pushed a paramilitary sovereignty assertion past its own "10-dash line" & beyond the First Island Chain to challenge a maritime negotiation it isn't party to. On May 28, 🇯🇵#Japan & the 🇵🇭#Philippines announced they would delimit their overlapping exclusive economic zones as prescribed by #UNCLOS. Beijing's answer was to send a flotilla through the Bashi Channel & into the open Pacific east of 🇹🇼#Taiwan, into waters that even its own most expansive maps don't (yet) claim. The key is in which ships Beijing sent: China uses its navy to assert capability--what it can do by force. It uses its coast guard & other government ships as a paramilitary force to assert sovereignty--what it claims. Not one ship in this flotilla was a warship, because this was a sovereignty claim. That's what's really new here. For over a decade China used these same gray-zone tactics to assert sovereignty inside its South China Sea "nine-dash line". This week's action pushed somewhere new--going past even the 10th "dash" Beijing added to its 2023 map. Beyond the First Island Chain. This assertion was aimed not at Taiwan alone, but at two 🇺🇸US treaty allies. @China_MFA branded the Japan-Philippine talks "completely illegal and void", while a June 1 @globaltimesnews editorial called the idea "an extraordinary and almost unprecedented absurdity… akin to two neighbors sitting in your living room and discussing how to divide your backyard." Note how China's "backyard" continues to expand. So, in fact, does its "living room". What SeaLight's tracking shows: 🔹 From 1-5 June, CCG cutters Daishan (2502) & Baita (2304) ran the first clockwise patrol over 200nm east of Taiwan's easternmost island--well past the 10th "dash" on Beijing's 2023 map. 🔹 Late on June 7th, a second wave of 3 provincial Maritime Safety Administration cutters & a rescue tug pushed into the Bashi Channel. The formation entered Taiwan's restricted waters ~30nm off the southern tip, drew a 7-ship Taiwan Coast Guard standoff, then also pushed east. Beijing's state media left no doubt about what it all meant, first with an official @XHNews/@globaltimesnews announcement, then a June 7 Global Times viewpoint column naming the operation "a sovereignty declaration with both legal significance and political signaling." Taiwan's NSC chief @josephwutw named it "expansionism in disguise," Defense Minister Koo said it was "cognitive warfare." Both are quite correct. But the deeper target is Tokyo, Manila & Washington DC, since if Beijing can run a paramilitary sovereignty assertion directly against two US allies' lawful EEZ talks in waters far beyond even its own claim lines, the real message is that China's maritime claims are not just expansive and ambiguous, they are unbounded. 📊 Tracking by @StarboardIntel
22
41
135
16,971
Hunter Stires retweeted
Taiwan says China coast guard 'harassed' commercial shipping off its coast by asking them information about their point of origin and destination and claiming jurisdiction. #Quarantine. asia.nikkei.com/politics/int…
47
59
155
15,348
Hunter Stires retweeted
Important to remember that the CCP has more options for compelling Taiwan to unify than a D-Day style invasion, and amphib assault is becoming the less likely scenario for that reason and those that Grey cites here. Why do the hard thing when there are much less dangerous options?
China faces a much heavier lift than D-Day in trying to take Taiwan & would face a US-led Coalition that is more advanced, more organised, and has more war experience than the PLA does. This would be so even if Xi was not purging his Admirals & Generals - which he is doing
7
10
64
13,468
Hunter Stires retweeted
Why do few British acknowledge Britain's end as a maritime nation & seapower? Partly because those who made active choices leading the RN to near terminal decline knew their accountability was certain — & that avoids the reckoning of destroying a five-century tradition. jameswesmith.space/p/royal-n…
4
11
20
976
Perhaps @SecretaryWright should be looking at the 86 Jones Act tankers and ATBs that are moving over 4 milliom tons every 7 to 10 days for the United States. They provide dedicated service to the coastwise United States, they employ thousands of mariners to crew and maintain these ships. They provide national security by providing transportation of petroleum for American military bases and a pool of mariners to crew the Ready Reserve Force in times of national emergency and war.
SUSPENDING JONES ACT HAS BEEN ‘ENORMOUSLY HELPFUL’: WRIGHT
5
62
201
13,792
Hunter Stires retweeted
#China’s Hai Xun & CG vessels are harassing commercial ships in #Taiwan’s EEZ to fabricate a facade of #PRC jurisdiction. This expansionism is a major escalation of regional tension. We call on all commercial vessels in the area to ignore #CCG radio calls.
115
190
662
100,495
Hunter Stires retweeted
Pay attention to this, folks. Isolation of Taiwan from the east using the China Coast Guard—if this turns into that—could be the first step of...all sorts of things. 👀
#China’s Hai Xun & CG vessels are harassing commercial ships in #Taiwan’s EEZ to fabricate a facade of #PRC jurisdiction. This expansionism is a major escalation of regional tension. We call on all commercial vessels in the area to ignore #CCG radio calls.
19
96
290
31,566
Hunter Stires retweeted
Has she done a single interesting or original thing at CBS, either in terms of form or content?
CBS News boss Bari Weiss poised to oversee CNN editorial operations: report trib.al/5NN3tcd
106
25
456
39,350
Hunter Stires retweeted
"...A nation can not claim to be a seapower if it will not risk its naval power in order to protect the merchant mariner..." From historian, strategist & philosopher of seapower, Sir Julian Corbett's [1854-1922] unreleased records that Prof Andrew Lambert & I are working on. Context: In the 1920s, Corbett sought to update his work on maritime strategy, reflecting on the experience of the First World War and evolutions in warfare technologies such as air power and submarine warfare. His argument centres onto protection of civilian shipping through key arguments of lines of communication, or in short the protection of logistic pathways for national prosperity, global stability and equally times of war and conflict to advance the prosecution of warfare.
90% of global trade moves by sea—but behind every shipment are seafarers who keep the world moving, often at great personal risk. Ahead of #DayOfTheSeafarer, hear Chief Engineer Mkoi on why this year's theme matters.
1
18
58
8,227