I am the director of the University of Georgia weather network and study the impacts of weather and climate on agriculture in the Southeast.

Joined July 2017
61 Photos and videos
Pam Knox retweeted
TROPICS: Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity has increased a little near a broad area of low pressure located over the Bay of Campeche. Environmental conditions are forecast to be only marginally conducive for development before the system moves inland over eastern Mexico late tomorrow or Sunday. The system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf on Tuesday and Wednesday while interacting with a frontal boundary, but there too, conditions are only expected to be marginally conducive for any development. The chance of development is only 20 percent. The rest of the Atlantic basin remains quiet.
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Pam Knox retweeted
EL NINO IS HERE: If you've spent any time on social media lately, you've probably seen plenty of scary headlines about El Niño. Let's cut through the noise. From NOAA's CPC (Climate Prediction Center)... "El Niño conditions are present and expected to strengthen into the Northern Hemisphere winter 2026-27. There is a good chance of a very strong El Niño during November-January that would rank among the largest El Niño events in the historical record going back to 1950. Even very strong El Niño events do not lead to the expected impact everywhere, but stronger events can more significantly tilt the odds in favor of expected outcomes." First, what is El Niño? El Niño is a warming of the waters off the west coast of South America, especially off the coast of Peru. Peruvian fisherman have been aware of this phenomenon for hundreds of years, since the normally anchovy rich waters off the coast need the cool upwelling waters along the coast to produce the right conditions for the anchovies. However, when the waters warm during periods of El Niño, the anchovy population declines and fishing off the Peruvian coast is disastrous. The Peruvian fishermen usually noted that the poor conditions peaked around Christmas time, and named the event "El Niño" or "The Child" for the Christ child. It is important to understand El Niño influences the atmosphere, but it doesn't guarantee specific weather events. It simply changes the odds in favor of certain patterns. During an El Niño phase, these are some very broad expectations... *Fewer hurricanes in the Atlantic basin *Above-average rainfall for the Deep South *The overall tornado signal for Alabama is not as clear-cut as rainfall *El Niño does not guarantee snow in winter, but it increases opportunities for cold air and Gulf moisture to overlap with an active southern U.S. jet stream. BOTTOM LINE: El Niño is a natural ocean-atmosphere pattern that can influence weather around the world, including here in Alabama. It shifts the odds toward certain weather patterns, but it does not guarantee disasters, endless storms, historic cold, or record-breaking weather. Be careful about sensational posts designed to generate clicks and fear. The atmosphere is far more complex than a single climate pattern. El Niño is an important piece of the puzzle, but it's only one piece.
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Pam Knox retweeted
May Weather Summary & Summer Outlook - The average from all 8 Panhandle FAWN stations was 12.6”, which was 8.8″ above normal. The average from all 8 stations since January was 20.6″, now just -1.5″ below normal. CPC says a 96% chance of a winter El Niño. buff.ly/6HJxsS1
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Pam Knox retweeted
➡️Despite some beneficial rainfall for some last week, the most recent drought monitor shows very little improvement to the ongoing drought. 🌧️📈Looking ahead, rain chances do increase by midweek ahead of a front, but amounts look insufficient for sustained drought relief. #gawx
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Pam Knox retweeted
El Niño is likely to emerge soon (82% chance in May-July 2026) and continue through Northern Hemisphere winter 2026-27 (96% chance in December 2026 – February 2027). An #ElNino Watch remains in effect. #ENSO cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a…
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Pam Knox retweeted
Mostly dry conditions will persist through Saturday with very isolated showers and thunderstorms possible on Sunday. Rain chances will increase more appreciably by Wednesday of next week ahead of a cold front.
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Pam Knox retweeted
A Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) is in effect Monday for portions of central Georgia. A few storms ahead of a cold front could become strong to severe during the afternoon and evening. Damaging wind gusts would be the primary threat. #gawx
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Pam Knox retweeted
A line of showers and thunderstorms will settle into North Georgia through mid week. A few storms may become strong to severe. Training thunderstorms may lead to locally excessive rainfall. Dry soils may see initially quick run-off and increase flash flood risk. #gawx
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Pam Knox retweeted
It only takes one hurricane or tropical storm to change your life and community. If you live in an area prone to tropical cyclones, you need to be prepared. Learn how during National Hurricane Preparedness Week (May 3-9, 2026)! noaa.gov/hurricane-prep
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Pam Knox retweeted
A Sabbath Poem by Wendell Berry
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Pam Knox retweeted
Early season heat is forecast across the eastern U.S. next week, with portions of the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast possibly having temperatures above 90 deg F for the first time this year. Drought expansion and increased wildfire threat are also a concern.
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Pam Knox retweeted
We need to talk a bit about how utterly absurd the March heatwave was in the USA. This heatwave would have been impossible without a boost from climate change, but even with climate change it remains a deeply unlikely event. A thread looking at some of the numbers. 🧵
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Pam Knox retweeted
Replying to @WhiteHouse
Incredible mission. Real American achievement. Now ask the White House why they just proposed cutting NASA's science budget by 47% — for the second year in a row. That's $3.4 billion gone. 40 missions terminated. The largest science cut in NASA history. You can't celebrate the stars and defund the scientists who get us there.
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Pam Knox retweeted
☀️A warm and dry weekend is on tap for north and central Georgia, with mostly sunny skies and high temps in the mid to upper 80s. 🏜️It will be even warmer next week with continued very low rain chances, which will worsen the ongoing drought. #gawx
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Pam Knox retweeted
What would it take to see some drought improvement? Here's a look at current rainfall deficits (Atlanta, Macon, Athens, and Columbus) and what it would take to bring us back to normal over 1, 3, or 6 months. Based on climatology, we will need some significant rain. #gawx
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Pam Knox retweeted
ERA-5 data is in. March was indeed the warmest on record in the US. But what’s even more astonishing is the trend. Since 1940 March in the US has warmed 7.2°F (that’s like 9° per century and accelerating!) Do the math on what this means for future generations if it continues. The pace of warming is remarkable.
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Pam Knox retweeted
Orchard’s waking up and coming to life a little faster than I need it to. I’m about as far behind as I’ve ever been this time of year. If it wasn’t for my job I could get a lot more work done. 😂
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Pam Knox retweeted
Our February Climate Summary is available! Read our report at the link below for more about new temperature records, drought evolution throughout the month, and seasonal outlooks. epd.georgia.gov/2026-climate…
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Pam Knox retweeted
Did you know that Georgia is currently in its worst drought in nearly 10 years? The latest Drought Monitor shows 80% of Georgia in at least Severe Drought. Check out this graphic to see how this compares to other big Georgia droughts in the last 20 years. #gawx #GeorgiaDrought
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Pam Knox retweeted
It's not just #FullDiskFriday, it's also the first day of #AstronomicalSpring in the Northern Hemisphere! The #VernalEquinox occurred at 10:46 a.m. ET today. In this year-long timelapse from @NOAA's #GOESEast 🛰️, see how the sun’s angle has changed since last year’s equinox due to the Earth’s axial tilt. Happy #spring! 🌎🌸
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