Inverse Finance
$INV Thesis
@InverseFinance was my first 10x call that got me noticed last cycle and I believe it’s primed for a similar explosive move to become the largest decentralized stablecoin in crypto. Fundamentals have never been stronger, whereas the
$INV price has barely moved from bear market lows.
I go into detail as to why I believe this, but in summary here’s a TLDR:
-
$DOLA bad debt is now tiny and soon to be zero
- TVL at ATHs and increasing parabolically whereas price is still in an accumulation zone
- Revenue at 11m compared to a $28m MC
- $22.5m treasury with only $2.4m of that in
$INV
-Monolith launch very soon
- Base and Ethereum aligned
What Is Inverse
If you’ve been following me for a while you likely know what
@InverseFinance is, but in short it’s a fixed rate money market and CDP (
$DOLA) stablecoin protocol, allowing depositors to borrow
$DOLA against their crypto for a fixed interest rate. The mechanism for how Inverse achieves this is beyond the scope of this post, but its architecture is very impressive.
Zero Bad Debt (Soon)
@InverseFinance’s growth has been stifled by
$DOLA bad debt accrued through some issues in 2022. Through DAO repayments, OTC sales, and soon to be loans against treasury assets, the bad debt will soon be zero and is already only $3.4m out of a
$DOLA supply of $110m.
A significant portion of the bad debt has recently been paid off via OTC sales to
@templedao,
@dcfgod,
@chud_eth,
@_Greenfund,
@0ctoshi and
@Sshxbt. Having the (continued) support of the foregoing will bring more attention to the platform and the current
$INV dislocation of price to fundamentals.
Eliminating the bad debt makes the DAO more profitable, will increase
$DOLA borrowing (which increases revenues), and allows the DAO to focus on other maters (debt repayment has been priority number 1).
That
@NourHaridy and the team such as
@patb @theAlienTourist @08xmt and others have stuck it out these last few years while they could have gone elsewhere for greater short-term gain gives me a lot of comfort in their conviction and that they’ll stick around for years in the future.
TVL
TVL is at all time highs and has begun to increase parabolically in the last month since the bad debt elimination proposal, whereas the
$INV price is still in an accumulation zone. The
@DefiLlama chart above paints a pretty picture. As the chart below also shows, once INV moves, it moves quickly, due to somewhat thin on-chain liquidity paired with a Coinbase listing.
As an aside, I doubt this post will cause the almost inevitable explosive move(s). One benefit of being less active on X is the lack of activity means the X algo doesn’t favor my content like it did last cycle, allowing you and others who have continued to read my content a chance to consider accumulating before the masses.
Revenue and Related Metrics
Inverse’s revenue metrics are unparalleled.
@patb publishes great Inverse data monthly (most recent is here:
x.com/patb/status/1954279384…) and here’s what I find most interesting:
- Revenue ($11m p/a) is approximately 40% of $INV’s $28m MC. This 40% is at least 2x and on average 9x greater than competitors like
$SKY $FXS $LQTY and
$ALCX
- Inverse generates significantly more revenue per dollar of TVL than its competitors. See below for what this looked like last month and it has now increased further to 5.6c per dollar of TVL
Or put another way, compare MCs to revenue (table below taken from values at the start of August, which, like revenue per dollar of TVL are even better today)
Treasury
Inverse has the 22nd largest treasury when excluding native tokens, equating to 71% $INV’s MC. Pretty amazing for any protocol, let alone a protocol that was initially distributed via an airdrop without any capital raise.
Monolith
Monolith will soon be released and is a stablecoin-as-a-service platform, enabling permissionless creation of immutable stablecoins using any collateral on any chain. For example, protocols could mint their own stable versus their own token in their treasuries, making their treasuries productive. These stables will be paired with
$DOLA in metapools, increasing
$DOLA liquidity while not exposing
$DOLA to any increase in bad debt risk. I speculate at least a portion of Monolith revenues will be directed to
$INV.
And the above misses potentially the largest benefit: given Monolith has effectively been incubated by Inverse, a substantial portion of Monolith tokens will likely be distributed to the Inverse DAO and/or
$INV stakers. Nothing has yet been announced, but such a distribution is likely in my opinion.
Base and Ethereum Aligned
Given we’re currently in Ethereum season and a Base Season is on the horizon, protocols aligned with both will do well. It’s hard to think of a more aligned protocol than Inverse: to take two examples, Inverse is one of the largest locked
$AERO holders and
$DOLA is one of the largest and most liquid stables on Base.
Conclusion
So there you have it – an Ethereum/Base aligned protocol that is 3-10x more profitable per dollar of TVL than competitors, whose price has barely moved despite ATH TVLs, and the largest risk facing it has recently been eliminated.
If you do choose to buy, buy the correct
$INV, since there is more than one.
coingecko.com/en/coins/inver…
I am very bullish, as are the following:
@CryptoAndolini
@wezekbruh
@TheCryptoFool
@DefiIgnas
@WIP_DEFI
@cryptoendgamer
@eldarcap
@Bull1shkid
@CurveCap
@sDolaBull