My opinion on
#HCI at a new 52-week high 48% from its September 2025 low. I was at the AGM in late-August 2025
It was only back in late-September 2025 that investment holding company
$JSEHCI Hoskyn Consolidated Investments was at a bare bones low of R118.91 a share
It was unloved as the market - rightly - believed that CEO Johnny Copelyn was not that serious on creating value given the HUGE (then) discount to NAV >60%. Even a big blue chip institutional shareholder threw in the towel and sold their shares
I attended as an analyst & shareholder (since 2022) the
#HCI AGM in late-August 2025
I took copious notes & asked the first AGM question to the CEO where his reply to me lasted over 1 hour of detailed comment. I fed these comments and dtailed feedback notes back to my institutional base post the AGM
In synopsis, CEO Copelyn said;
#HCI - with a large property portfolio - would exit and could raise
@R1,2 billion. That has occurred as
#HCI has sold various property stakes and assets over the past months
#HCI would consider selling its 45% controlling stake in the valuable
$JSESSU Southern Sun. That stake today is worth R6.1 billion or 41% of
#HCI present market cap. CEO Copelyn wanted "R16.00 - R17.00 a share" for the premium asset ... highlighting trapped value within
#HCI. That potential remains untapped
#HCI and its 10% stake in the offshore Venus oil exploration site in Namibia was slumbering as the low oil price and lack of (then) commitment by
@TotalEnergies to formalise the Final Investment Decision (FID) meant the stake sat there
With the Middle East war and oil having soared from US$60 to US$120 a barrel, there has been much chatter that
@TotalEnergies is set to imminently announce the FID and that will solidify the actual value of
#HCI's stake in Venus as the exploration prospect would move towards infrastructure, drilling and production (2029/30) BUT it would enhance the stakes actual value
At the AGM CEO Copelyn stated to me "within the next year, I'm pretty confident the oil assets will have far more clarity and value, we just need to be patient and wait for the pieces to fall into place, they are currently underway"... seems he was again right
#HCI today is at a new 52-week high of R176.10 a year-to-date return of 11.54% but from the September 22nd 2025 low its 48.1%
Chatter in the oil blogs is that
@TotalEnergies is set to finally decide on the Venus FID in July. That ties in to the Q2 results period for the French oil major
Speaking at the Namibia International Energy Conference (NIEC) 2026, TotalEnergies Namibia Managing Director and Country Chair Mariam Kane-Garcia said the company is progressing towards a near-term investment decision, subject to the completion of key technical and regulatory processes
This, pending update alongside the oil price asset unlock at
#HCI is - in my view - the reason why
#HCI share price has pushed higher
If the FID is confirmed and
#HCI then updates the market on the 'value' of its 10% Venus stake ... the stock (may) go higher pending the oil situation