Dad, Software engineer, IT manager, AI/ML, HPC, astronomy, SDA, cybersecurity

Joined February 2009
235 Photos and videos
This is true.
The permissioned path does not arrive as tyranny. It arrives as convenience. A society can lose its freedom this way without a single dramatic moment, simply by routing more of its thinking through infrastructure that answers to someone else. We must protect open source and open source models
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Curt Dodds retweeted
It’s not about safety. If Anthropic nuked Fable to avoid export control violations, they either had a political/ideological objection to the USG safeguarding critical tech for Americans or they couldn’t KYC users well enough to comply. The former is a real problem. The latter exposes compliance gaps they should fix anyway.
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💯 FAFO I've long said the USG needs it's own classified frontier AI program. Why is anyone surprised there is an ITAR/EAR bound on "intelligence as a service"? Everyone is focused on cyber, zero day vulns and exploits. But consider cryptography and cyphers. These have long been export controlled. And it's not just cybersecurity and cryptography. Thr pattern applies to bioengineering, directed energy, nuclear, chemistry, semiconductors, ... every area covered by ITAR and EAR. The capability frontier of AI models is now in tension with national security. This is a critical inflection point. Let's get it right.
This is pure inexperience by Anthropic. First, you don't antagonize the government by flexing your superior morals. US Government isn't going to allow an extremely powerful AI model to be freely available to everyone except for US Government. Second, mature companies drive and dominate technical industry standards. Anthropic refuses to lead here. We don't have AI National Labs (we should). No one really knows how to evaluate safety or security of frontier AI models. So the government uses blunt force instruments they do have. Export controls are the easy button. Instead, Anthropic (and OpenAI) make hysterical claims about the future and "invite" the government to regulate them. Play stupid games, win stupid prizes. Time to grow up.
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Curt Dodds retweeted
The apparent paradox of Anthropic’s paranoia about AI security and insouciance about their own is explained by the fact that they think they’re the only people in the world capable of handling it.
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Never push to prod on a Friday. 🤷
Jun 14
"Then White House started reaching out to Anthropic to speak with Dario Amodei, who was at a wellness retreat." Ahahahahahahahah bros going on wellness retreats on the dawn of the IPO I'm crying
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"Leopold's narrative is almost too on the nose." 🎯
Some reads from the current Fable ban situation: - Vagueposting that a model can hack everything has consequences if you then end up releasing anyway. Saying other models also can after the fact is not enough. - Asking for regulation when you can't specify exactly what regulation has predictable consequences. - The ratchet is clearly moving towards license raj - There are many who want an implicit license raj (AISI testing with power to block) but it's the same thing in practice. It is bad. Bad for safety, since now there's no choice but to accelerate for others. - There's no way to allow models to be used "at large" going forward if the govt treats models as weapons. - This is *fantastic* for Chinese models. - The govt is ofc overstepping but honestly if you didn't expect that then you're naive! - Leopold's narrative is almost too on the nose. - Safetyists have wanted "perfect safety" as a goal, which is unachievable, and I've said a thousand times before it will backfire. This is the backfire. - This *still* assumes the old view that the individual model is the bad part and not a system, which will inevitably lead to bad governance. - This will get reversed in a bit and the model will get released (license raj), but the precedent is set. And many will say "ah this was bad but at least we got a license raj". They will be wrong. - Openai has more breathing room for a better model to be released. And they're toning down the rhetoric. This will help them. - Competition is good.
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WTH is *organized medicine"?
Same guy.
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After two months of Glasswing, all US critical infrastructure has NOT been patched. We are sleepwalking into a nightmare. Google is, by far, the most disciplined frontier AI company. Perhaps there is a reason why their models are later and lag slightly in capability.
⚡️This makes this much bigger. Amazon is deeply exposed to Anthropic through investment, cloud infrastructure, enterprise trust, and AWS security liability. If Anthropic’s most advanced model creates cyber uplift before the defense layer is ready, Amazon is one of the institutions sitting directly under the blast radius. That changes the whole read. The model triggered concern not only inside Washington, but inside the company stack that funds, hosts, sells, and absorbs liability for frontier AI. Amazon is an Anthropic investor, AWS is the compute and enterprise-distribution layer, and Amazon has direct exposure if a frontier model creates cyber uplift, enterprise trust blowback, regulatory risk, or national-security conflict. So the deeper machine looks like this: Anthropic ships frontier capability. A jailbreak/cyber concern surfaces. Government asks for pause. Anthropic resists. Amazon-level infrastructure leadership raises concern. Trump officials receive the concern as both technical risk and elite industry validation. Government uses export-control authority. Access gets pulled. That is the new AI regime in miniature. The lab no longer controls the model alone. The state controls legal permission. The cloud controls infrastructure. The enterprise layer controls distribution trust. The national-security apparatus controls acceptable exposure. The investor/vendor ecosystem can activate pressure when the lab’s deployment threatens the broader stack. That is why this is bigger than Anthropic. The state does not even need to understand the model perfectly if the infrastructure class says, “This creates security risk before defenses are ready.” That converts a technical ambiguity into a governance event. Amazon may be aligned with Anthropic financially, but still rationally support a pause if the risk threatens AWS, enterprise trust, government relationships, or the broader AI adoption environment. That is how serious this is. The capital stack can love frontier AI and still demand containment when the capability runs ahead of the control layer. This is soft nationalization through the ecosystem. Not ownership. Coordination. Cloud providers, hyperscalers, frontier labs, defense agencies, Commerce, CISA, intelligence, White House, enterprise customers, and investors all becoming part of one control loop. The public story is “security risks in Anthropic’s models.” The real story is “frontier AI deployment now requires consent from the infrastructure-sovereign complex.” That is the line. The open frontier model of AI is dying because too many actors with real power now have balance-sheet, security, and geopolitical reasons to slow the strongest models down until the state and cloud layer can absorb them. This also makes your viral post look even more on target. Frontier AI stopped being software. It became controlled strategic capability. Now the enforcement mechanism is visible: not just government decree, but hyperscaler alarm plus sovereign power plus export-control law. That is the regime.
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This is the way.
🔥Humanities professors unite w/ STEM faculty, demanding the University of California reinstate the SAT “We call for the UC Academic Senate and the UC Regents to give up the failed experiment of the last 6 years & return to including both the math & the verbal reasoning components of SAT/ACT as part of undergraduate admissions”
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A grad student just pitched this idea to me two days ago. 🤯
Today on the blog, we discuss a pathway for the second life of phones through the exploration of “phone cluster computing”, which can directly reduce the environmental footprint of computing by avoiding the need for further raw material extraction. More →goo.gle/4aJe5vO

ALT Animation of the construction of a server using smartphones.

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I am black pilled on virtuous AI because of the lack of virtue among frontier AI CEOs.
My opinion is that Mythos is the current best model but not actually some world-changing dangerous model, and that anthropic did their usual song and dance about safety largely because they didn’t have enough compute to serve it at scale So then they launched Fable because they still have to think about the IPO, but they are still somewhat compute limited so they put all sorts of restrictions on it Around the same time, because they are trying to get regulatory capture and not because things are actually dangerous, Dario did more scaremongering and published his honestly confusing white paper that offered no real solutions So finally they succeeded, they managed to freak out the government, their cynical plan backfired, and now it’s a giant pain in the ass
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The real travesty is the "jungle" primary which, like gerrymandering, exists for one purpose, to silence the voices that would oppose a political supermajority.
Democrats could have let Spencer Pratt take 2nd, then easily defeated him in Nov: "See, our elections aren't rigged. We let a MAGA friendly win". Instead, they have fomented total unified visceral utter disgust. The Nation was glued to every single count, watched a 7%-point lead evaporate days after the physical voting ended. The Establishment fucked up (John Thune, the most hated man in America). They treated this like a sleepy, localized primary that they could manage through standard, bureaucratic slow-rolling. Their ruthless public pursuit of power blinded them that entire country is hyper-sensitized to election integrity RN (thanks be to Trump). By pushing Nithya Raman past Pratt by a razor-thin margin of 3,113 votes on a Sun. night, they lit a powder keg under the Nation, a 11.0 earthquake. BS you say? Read any comments, any local national MSM or any few daring to defend CA elections, on any SM platform. The vitriol of disgust hatred utter contempt for Democrats & RINOs corruption has unified a once deeply divided country. They thought they were quietly securing a predictable Bass vs. Raman runoff for November. Instead, their smug pretentious Marie Antoinette-esque hatred brought together — the Left, the center, the Right — a shared outrage, turned a local mayoral primary into a national symbol of institutional corruption. They underestimated the public's boiling point, and now they have no idea how to contain the blowback. They so fucked themselves. Psychopathic doesn't even come close. They have healed a broken polarized country, once unimaginable. Thank you Spencer for your unwavering courage. Thank you Trump for your fierce bellicosity. Thank you Dumocrats for destroying your own party. Thank you Thune, McConnell, Murkowski, Collins, Tillis... the most despised humans in Nation.
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Curt Dodds retweeted
Been saying this for a while. More than a god, a replacement god, a kind of antichrist. Look at the marketing words these AI company CEOs use.
Bill Gurley: Anthropic Thinks It’s Building God @Jason: It is the ultimate level of narcissism and delusion of grandeur to think you can create God. @bgurley: “Anthropic is a mystery to me. I've never, ever seen a company that is both leading their field and the most negatively outspoken commenter on what they do. And my initial theory was the regulatory capture theory. Quite frankly, I think they're very close to achieving that. But then they just got so loud that I've literally, in the past 30 days, read everything I can about Anthropic, and I've come up with a new theory. I call it the Dr. Frankenstein theory. The more I dig, I've met people who, I dare say, think it's their responsibility, and they're excited about, building a species that's superior to humans. Dario wrote this blog post called ‘Machines of Loving Grace.’ It was based on a poem. The last stanza of the poem says, ‘I like to think of a cybernetic ecology where we are free of our labors, and joined back to nature, returned to our mammal brothers and sisters, and all watched over by machines of loving grace.’ Sounds like an overlord to me. And then in Dario's post, he says, ‘It could be a capitalist economy of AI systems which then give out resources to humans based on some secondary economy of what the AI systems think makes sense to reward in humans…’ So I don't think they think they're writing software. I think they're midwifing a deity here.” Jason: “These are delusions of grandeur. Let's call it what it is. They believe that they're so powerful, these individuals, that they can create God, and that by creating God, they are like this Prometheus kind of species. It literally is the ultimate level of narcissism and delusion of grandeur to think you can create God.”
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What a happy thought.
Replying to @Grimezsz @sebkrier
Symbiotic relationships are common in nature and predators aren’t necessarily adversarial. The predators are crucial to maintain the health of the ecosystem. When the predator is satiated it’s not uncommon to find both the predator and its prey relaxing in the meadows.
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Curt Dodds retweeted
.@SecScottBessent: "A nation that cannot manufacture, mine, ship, or refine its needs gradually cedes its strength and sovereignty to others. That is a dangerous dependency for any country; it is an unacceptable one for the United States of America."
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Curt Dodds retweeted
The best street name you’ll see today.
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Curt Dodds retweeted
UC was not designed to teach remedial math. Bring back SAT for freshman admissions. Test-optional was always an option via community college transfer.
19 Nov 2025
The California master plan for higher education in the 1960s brilliantly enabled excellence and broad access by assigning distinct missions to UC, CSU, and CCs, and standardizing the transfer process between CC and 4 year institutions. Below is a master plan for addressing the recent report that some students in a top UC can’t do middle school math.
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Curt Dodds retweeted
It is, just entry level jobs.
Sam Altman: “I thought AI would hit white collar jobs much harder by now.” What do you think?
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I did. I have no regrets.
I regret not studying philosophy instead of physics. Seems like a much more fulfilling major.
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Curt Dodds retweeted
Scientists Discover Tea Tastes Best When Dumped Out And Replaced With Coffee buff.ly/qrEsJVH
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