Putting criticism about timing and data presentation aside,
$ERAS' ERAS-0015 seems very similar to
$RVMD's daraxonrasib imo.
ERAS-0015 is more potent which explains the lower exposure required for efficacy (and associated with on target toxicity of course). It might have a slight advantage on GI side effects (to be seen) but other than that it is likely to have a similar therapeutic index.
If we compare just the PDAC data sets,
$ERAS reported 4 PRs in 21 patients (~19% ORR) in the US at relevant doses which is lower than dara's 35% ORR but that gap will likely close with more follow up as
$ERAS has multiple near PRs at the first scan than can convert in the future (They need 3 such conversions to reach 33% ORR).
The limited follow up probably has a confounding effect on safety as well (longer treatment typically leads to more side effects) which should take
$ERAS to a similar dose interruption/reduction rate in the future. Gr5 pneumonitis case requires attention but it could be an isolated case.
Is
$ERAS cheap at $3B? Not sure but for pharmas who cannot afford or simply won't get
$RVMD this is the closest fast follower program that could be P3 ready later this year.
*no position in stocks mentioned *