Research Fellow & PhD @GIGA_Institute, Journalist. Civil-Military Relations, Authoritarianism, MENA, Sudan. Edits #AutocraciesWithAdjectives. Alumna @CEUpolsci
Joined February 2015
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- Followers 2,214
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Pinned Tweet
20 Feb 2024
NEW PUBLICATION! I analyzed 10 months of combat locations, weapons transfers, military logistics & networks in #Sudan🇸🇩 to reconstruct how the #RSF overtook the #SAF on the ground - and how Wagner & UAE supplied this war. Summary🧵below
giga-hamburg.de/en/publicati… @GIGA_Institute
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Hager Ali retweeted
Heute Abend spricht #GIGA-Forscherin @ActuallyHager bei #SRFglobal über den Bürgerkrieg im #Sudan. Die Geschichte der Gewalt in #Darfur scheint sich zu wiederholen. Was bedeutet das für die Zukunft des Landes?
➡️ Einschalten: 22:25 Uhr, SRF 1: medien.srf.ch/-/-srfglobal-s…
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Hager Ali retweeted
13 May 2024
@plichta_marcel and I have a new piece with @ECPR_TheLoop on Moscow’s efforts to capitalize on coups and insecurity in the Sahel. Thanks to @ActuallyHager for the assist!
♟ #AutocraciesWithAdjectives No.28
Recent military coups in the #Sahel have benefited Russia. @plichta_marcel & @C_Faulkner_UCF argue that Moscow's mercenaries are not to blame for the democratic retrenchment, but they are emboldening military dictators
bit.ly/4bxbjrG
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Hager Ali retweeted
23 Apr 2024
"Sudanese refugees in Germany decry forgotten war" amplifying the voices of Stella Gaitano, Mai Shatta, Aya El Sammani & @ActuallyHager:
p.dw.com/p/4f1jS?maca=en-Twi…
#KeepEyesOnSudan
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Hager Ali retweeted
Featured in @EADI newsletter: @ActuallyHager's analysis on the war in #Sudan, published as #GIGAFocus.👇
➡️ Have a read: giga-hamburg.de/en/publicati…
📢 It's newsletter time again, this time kicking off the celebrations for our 50 anniversary featuring @diisdk's analysis of #Russia's quest for influence in #Africa, picks on wars by @IDS_UK, @GIGA_Institute, @ISDCBerlin @IIR_Prague & more ⬇️
mailchi.mp/eadi/nl1march2024
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Hager Ali retweeted
29 Feb 2024
We explore the reasons behind this move and its potential implications for regional dynamics and global geopolitics and how it affects established alliances and partnerships in the region.
Please set a reminder.
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29 Feb 2024
Join our discussion tomorrow at 18:00 CET about ECOWAS lifting sanctions on coup-leaders
29 Feb 2024
Tomorrow, Friday 1700GMT on @XSpaces, we host a round-table discussion on the ECOWAS decision to lift sanctions on Mali, Niger and Guinea.
Is it a carrot-and-stick tactic to forestall intended withdrawals from the regional bloc or geopolitical shifts?
x.com/i/spaces/1djxXNYXnnyGZ
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Hager Ali retweeted
27 Feb 2024
Why the #UAE needs to be held accountable for the #war in #Sudan. Powerful piece in Foreign Affairs magazine by @TheSentry_Org’s founding director. Read it here…
foreignaffairs.com/sudan/dir…
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Hager Ali retweeted
21 Feb 2024
This is a real fear: One of many.
20 Feb 2024
The more pre-existing factions join the war, the more it drowns out the principal SAF-RSF conflict with faction-specific agendas. The chain of command between troops falls apart the more local battles detach from Al-Burhan’s or Dagalo’s respective interests. That changes a lot
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Hager Ali retweeted
22 Feb 2024
"SAF and RSF may not be able to terminate the violence anymore because command structures within and between troops have eroded. The SAF’s losses provoke defections from its ranks. Factions that joined the war in Darfur and in Kordofan can supersede Al-Burhan’s and Dagalo’s authority on a municipal level and use the war for their group-specific goals."
20 Feb 2024
NEW PUBLICATION! I analyzed 10 months of combat locations, weapons transfers, military logistics & networks in #Sudan🇸🇩 to reconstruct how the #RSF overtook the #SAF on the ground - and how Wagner & UAE supplied this war. Summary🧵below
giga-hamburg.de/en/publicati… @GIGA_Institute
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Hager Ali retweeted
22 Feb 2024
Powerful, prescient analysis, with major implications for civilian #protection & #peace making for #Sudan. It portrays both the regionalisation & fragmentation/localisation of #conflict dynamics, and portends (again) that elite deal making efforts to end the war may be misplaced.
20 Feb 2024
NEW PUBLICATION! I analyzed 10 months of combat locations, weapons transfers, military logistics & networks in #Sudan🇸🇩 to reconstruct how the #RSF overtook the #SAF on the ground - and how Wagner & UAE supplied this war. Summary🧵below
giga-hamburg.de/en/publicati… @GIGA_Institute
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Hager Ali retweeted
22 Feb 2024
This is the best analysis on conflict dynamics I have read on the conflict in #Sudan. It confirmed many of my suspicions, confirmed what I know and taught me even more. 👏🏻@actuallyhager
20 Feb 2024
NEW PUBLICATION! I analyzed 10 months of combat locations, weapons transfers, military logistics & networks in #Sudan🇸🇩 to reconstruct how the #RSF overtook the #SAF on the ground - and how Wagner & UAE supplied this war. Summary🧵below
giga-hamburg.de/en/publicati… @GIGA_Institute
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Hager Ali retweeted
21 Feb 2024
#Lesetipp
Dichte Analyse zum Stand des Bürgerkriegs zwischen Armee und Rapid Security Forces im #Sudan. Die RSF haben inzwischen dank besserer Logistik die Region eingenommen, welche als Kornkammer des Landes gilt.
20 Feb 2024
NEW PUBLICATION! I analyzed 10 months of combat locations, weapons transfers, military logistics & networks in #Sudan🇸🇩 to reconstruct how the #RSF overtook the #SAF on the ground - and how Wagner & UAE supplied this war. Summary🧵below
giga-hamburg.de/en/publicati… @GIGA_Institute
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Hager Ali retweeted
read - good #OSINT work here 👇
20 Feb 2024
NEW PUBLICATION! I analyzed 10 months of combat locations, weapons transfers, military logistics & networks in #Sudan🇸🇩 to reconstruct how the #RSF overtook the #SAF on the ground - and how Wagner & UAE supplied this war. Summary🧵below
giga-hamburg.de/en/publicati… @GIGA_Institute
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Hager Ali retweeted
21 Feb 2024
I highly recommend this report.
To my knowledge, this is the first writing to clearly acknowledge the tight coordination between Russia, the UAE, and the Haftar family in provision of material aid to #Hemedti’s forces in Sudan.
Terrific job!
20 Feb 2024
NEW PUBLICATION! I analyzed 10 months of combat locations, weapons transfers, military logistics & networks in #Sudan🇸🇩 to reconstruct how the #RSF overtook the #SAF on the ground - and how Wagner & UAE supplied this war. Summary🧵below
giga-hamburg.de/en/publicati… @GIGA_Institute
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Hager Ali retweeted
20 Feb 2024
This insight, among many others, makes this piece a must read on the current state of Sudan's civil war.
20 Feb 2024
Wagner and the UAE are also close allies. Wagner has subsidiaries in the UAE & the UAE likely finances Wagner more generally too. In June 2023, Ugandan authorities found assault rifles, ammo small weapons instead of humanitarian goods on a plane from the UAE and headed for Chad
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Hager Ali retweeted
20 Feb 2024
Some good, granular analysis of #Sudan here, with specific recommendations. A particularly alarming finding: "The SAF and RSF may not be able to terminate the violence anymore because command structures within and between troops have eroded.."
20 Feb 2024
NEW PUBLICATION! I analyzed 10 months of combat locations, weapons transfers, military logistics & networks in #Sudan🇸🇩 to reconstruct how the #RSF overtook the #SAF on the ground - and how Wagner & UAE supplied this war. Summary🧵below
giga-hamburg.de/en/publicati… @GIGA_Institute
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20 Feb 2024
NEW PUBLICATION! I analyzed 10 months of combat locations, weapons transfers, military logistics & networks in #Sudan🇸🇩 to reconstruct how the #RSF overtook the #SAF on the ground - and how Wagner & UAE supplied this war. Summary🧵below
giga-hamburg.de/en/publicati… @GIGA_Institute
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20 Feb 2024
No amount of social media PR and empty declarations can absolve Dagalo and the RSF of their violent legacy. SAF’s role as “lesser evil” also doesn't erase its part in destroying Sudan’s first real chance for democracy in over 30 years.
Thank you for reading 🇸🇩
#KeepEyesOnSudan
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20 Feb 2024
A special thank you to @ACLEDINFO, @sudanwarmonitor and the meticulous day-to-day reporting by @BSonblast as well as @SudanTribune_EN and @RadioDabanga - your tireless work is crucial in analyzing these long-term developments in Sudan
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