☄️ 3I/ATLAS...
...FAST APPROACHING🔴
#MARS!!!
Close encounter is THIS Friday & as an astronomer (former
#NASA) & planetary scientist it made me wonder:
✨WHAT CAN WE EXPECT???
BUCKLE UP & Let's Take A HARD LOOK!
💥Turns out this is NOT the only time
#NASA has mobilized spacecraft to look at a
#comet
As a matter of fact the upcoming encounter is pure DEJA VU!
💥A look back will SURPRISE you:
FLASHBACK 11 years ago...
- it's 2014 &
#Comet C/2013 A1
#SidingSpring has plunged in from almost outside our Solar System, from the distant Oort Cloud & is fast approaching
#Mars...
SOUNDS ALMOST FAMILIAR!
Just like now, back then multiple spacecraft🛰️ WERE ALL mobilized to observe this ☄️comet, including:
-Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter
-2001 Mars Odyssey
-ESA's Mars Express
-MAVEN
-Indian Mars Orbiter Mangalyaan
~ & on Mars SURFACE: BOTH
#Curiosity &
#Opportunity rovers!
⚡The comet flew by
#Mars SOOOOO CLOSE (only ~138,000 km!) that orbiters were repositioned in order to protect them from possible damage from cometary particulates.
Even at such close range, although good science was obtained - from a strictly public perspective, the IMAGES were NOT spectacular - see below👇
💥In comparison 3I/ATLAS, at ~17 M-miles, will be ~195 TIMES FARTHER from Mars!
Let me repeat & rephrase that:
#CometSidingSpring flew by
#MARS 195 TIMES CLOSER than
#3IATLAS will!
💥Although 3I/ATLAS is a fascinating object worth studying - contrary to what SOME people are claiming - such close encounters are obviously NOT that anomolous...
✨🌠
So using data from 2014
#CometSidingSpring encounter...
I ran the numbers & got:
💥 In
#MRO images everyone is looking forward to so much:
3I/ATLAS will probably appear as only a:
FUZZY DOT or smudge
- an unresolved point source or a minor variation in brightness/color within ONE PIXEL that is blended with the surrounding space background.
NO shape
NO surface features
NO texture
NO internal structure
...will be discernible, since 3I/ATLAS is WAY SMALLER than the resolution limit & 195 TIMES FARTHER than
#Comet #SidingSpring was.
✨IF
#3IATLAS brightens considerably & grows a big tail: larger extended features might span ONLY several pixels
✨IF the coma somehow manages to exceed ~50-100 km in diameter, this MIGHT allow some BLURRY structure in the gaseous envelope to be visible
💥My calculations align with
#HiRISE's performance in past comet imagings, including Comet Siding Spring in 2014 where at MUCH CLOSER distance (138,000 km) yielded ONLY ~138 m/pixel resolution, & so resolved a ~0.5-1 km nucleus across only 3-7 pixels & showed ONLY basic shape.
💥 WHAT ABOUT THE SURFACE ROVERS???
Surface rover imaging didn't do much better either👇
So it seems those hyping this encounter will have to temper their expectations, given that 3I/ATLAS nucleus is barely 5 km width, & is ~195 TIMES FARTHER AWAY (at ~27 MILLION KM), probably NO real details of the 3I/ATLAS itself will be seen - only perhaps its overall presence as a FUZZY POINT-LIKE FEATURE - & that's it (sorry!)
💥💥💥💥💥💥💥
I HONESTLY HOPE I'M WRONG &
#3IATLAS puts on an unexpectedly spectacular show!
Also, one can hope that some advanced AI image processing MIGHT produce at least some improvement
BUT I doubt it...
TAKE A GOOD HARD LOOK AT WHAT HiRES produced 11 yrs ago on
#Comet #SidingSpring 👇
AND REMEMBER to keep in mind that
#Comet #SidingSpring was 195 TIMES CLOSER.than 3IATLAS...
ICYMI:
✨
x.com/MarianRudnyk/status/19…
✨
x.com/MarianRudnyk/status/19…
#astronomy #ufoX #uap @CNN
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@rosscoulthart @GeologicalSETI
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