I agree wholeheartedly with Kevin's analysis around the shrinking of the PGF & funding mechanism space
The 2021-24 era (RPGF, QF, etc) were an aberration rather than norm that many of us were lucky to have experienced
I'll now call out specific incidents from that time, not to target any project but as a post-mortem of that era.
Broadly, we need 10x improvements in 3 areas around funding collection, division & evaluation before we are ready for a return of that time
1. Top of funnel funding
Many of the 2021-24 ecosystems have not had any RoI from their PGF spend. Optimism got little from their RPGF outlay except marketing or mindshare, while Arbitrum DAO gave significant funds via QF which provided little benefit to their ecosystem
I see 2 areas to improve in how we collect funds from PGF programs;
a. Solve the free-rider problem
Many of the PGF programs felt like charge of the light brigade ('into the valley of death rode the 600') since other ecosystems didn't join but still enjoyed the benefits of what got funded by OP RPGF or Arbitrum QF.
To unblock ecosystem funding, we need to innovate mechanisms where the majority can coerce the minority into joining funding coalitions
For eg,
@clesaege idea that if over 51% of validators indicate their interest to channel a portion of staking rewards to ecosystem growth, all 100% of validators are forced to join
Or @RaymondCheng00 idea around new software licenses that create legal obligations to donate to open source from profits or revenue, which could address Optimism's
@okx problem where they are not part of the 15% revenue sharing arrangement but still use OP stack and its improvements as its MIT license based
b. Eliminate distinction between institutional and individual giving
Something I've learnt recently is how easy it is for individuals to simply yeet any money into a
@dripsnetwork list or PGF mechanism, while institutions have requirements to either mitigate or transfer risk.
So they either KYC/KYB every recipient (expensive and impractical for mechanisms giving funds to many grantees) or structure it as a grant to another entity taking on that risk
@vinayvasanji is thinking deeply around how we might build vehicles that unblock institutional giving while also making it more transparent, something I'm excited to work on in 2026. because make no mistake, institutions hold vastly more money than individuals.
2. Allocation or splitting funds between projects once received
The majority of focus in the PGF space & at
@schellingpoint_ this year was around algorithms that split a pot of funds between projects. quadratic funding based on wisdom of the crowds, badgeholder voting from experts, deep funding with AI etc all focus on credit assignment or figuring out who should get how much
What doesn't get enough love is decentralized eligibility. All these mechanisms make projects fill out grant applications & Optimism or Gitcoin then made centralized (& fairly lenient) decisions on who got to participate in the funding round
If we move from the PGF framing to one of connecting cost and revenue centers, deciding what is a cost center and what isn't will become more important than deciding funding between them
As i often like to say, if only good & relevant projects take part in your funding round, it doesn't matter if your allocation isn't perfect
@carl_cervone has done some phenomenal work on dependency graphs listing out repos used by an ecosystem, which is a good starting point to map out cost centers using algorithms instead of humans
I've also found that framing this exercise as a security one (uniswap v3 should have a map of the repos it depends on) receives a more favorable reception than as a PGF tool
3. Accountability
Now we come to the issue Owocki pinpointed in his post - well intentioned mediocrity by grantees in past funding rounds
The meta question here is, how can we cut out non-performers so they don't get to keep participating round after round?
Similar to how companies either listen to customers or go out of business, we need to ensure that public good projects have a way of dying out if unused. It is expensive for the web3 world to waste precious talent on a project going nowhere, simply because funding mechanisms keep them alive
for eg, one feedback i heard was on how the
@soliditylang v2 roadmap doesn't take into account user demands on faster compile times, instead prioritizing features they read about in Rust academic papers which they want to implement in solidity
The final boss to defeat before we see the comeback of funding mechanisms in full is ensuring funders putting money into these things get the full bang for the buck, regardless of whether it was given as a grant or via an algorithm.
2 examples stood out to me as hard problems that we still need to somehow solve;
a. Despite
@ETHGlobal receiving significant OP RPGF funds, they didn't even list optimism as a sponsor or give bounties because "oh that was retroactive it doesn't count"
so optimism could have got greater benefit by giving away the same amount of money but structuring it as a bounty/sponsorship to eth global instead of giving it to them through their RPGF program
b.
@wevm_dev received large RPGF funding but not only haven't listed optimism as a funder on their website but also reportedly sent them a quotation when requested to integrate new chains or features
So if Optimism could have got greater value from funding them if they had simply not given wagmi/viem the money as RPGF but instead as conditional on executing features they wanted
Solving the additionality of funding in mechanisms is hard, but i see github based governance as a good path to explore. Create an issue on a recipients repo listing funds received which gets closed after required deliverables are submitted
Excited to work on these issues going into 2026! I love how Devcon always helps with priority setting for the next year 😊
Leaving Devconnect, I felt the weight of being in a niche that might be stagnating.
Public goods funding in Ethereum has lost mindshare. PGF is seen as a cost center to many ecosystems, Vitalik is focused elsewhere. Builder energy is real, but attention has drifted.
Discussing this with
@carl_cervone, we focused on one core issue. Most teams failed to execute well. There is a lot of well-intentioned mediocrity. In a rising market, mediocrity gets hidden. CT has an immune system for obvious scams now, but not for pervasive mediocrity.
Some bright spots:
- Its been great to see the rise of
@OctantApp - they are focusing on the demand side with their new vault play - which I think is super smart. I want them (and their vault users) to raise a shit ton of funds and then be discerning about how to spend it.
- I love what
@SilviProtocol is doing with bioregional financing. Peer to peer proof of tree planting is very cool, this model could completely bypass the existing middleman-ridden NGO structure for reforestation.
-
@deep_funding is doing great work attracting talent from new places (AI). And scaling human judgement to fund OSS dependancies.
- I like how
@devanshmehta thinks about connecting revenue centers & cost centers for ecosystems. Just like how its hard to survive in nature w/o energy, its hard to survive in business without revenue. By connecting cost/revenue centers. we are able to finance ecosystem public goods in tandem with their growth.
- IMO The clearest direction for
@gitcoin GG25 is to focus on keeping our own spend (relatively) low while proving out our ability to build coalitions that have impact (and get upside) in 1 to 2 frontier metas with real momentum (maybe x402, AI, stablecoins, DePIN, interop, infofi privacy). Tangibly this means running public goods funding rounds there, and pairing it with token investments to build dealflow and treasury longevity. The PGF rounds build dealflow for the investment engine.
- There are others that are doing great things I likely missed. Shill them in the comments and Ill RT the best takes.
Thanks
@carl_cervone for helping me sensemake here!