Norway's Erling Haaland is the first player to score twice on their World Cup debut since... Elijah Just for New Zealand on Monday, who was the first player to achieve the feat since... Yasin Ayari for Sweden on Sunday, who was the the first to do so since... Folarin Balogun for the U.S. on Friday.

What do diff-in-diff event-study designs really tell us about the employment effects of min wages? My new paper with @NeumarkEcon tackles this using the stacked design of Cengiz-@arindube-@attilalindner-@benzipperer and the related LP-DiD design in Dube-Lindner’s HLE chapter. 🧵

Bin völlig schockiert, dass nichts, aber auch wirklich nichts mehr verbrämt wird! Es ist 1:1 islamistische Propaganda: Der Mann, der die krassen Regelungen für Frauen bestimmt – Gesicht, Hände und Füße ab Knöchel dürfen aus seiner Sicht freundlicherweise unverhüllt bleiben (andere wollen selbst das bedecken). Seine Frau, die ihre Motivation der Verhüllung aus angeblich tiefem glühendem Glauben heraus immer wieder betont – freiwillig natürlich und nein, natürlich auch nicht als kleines Mädchen „gehirngewaschen“. Und als I-Tüpfelchen die ältere, garantiert migrantenhintergrundfreie Seniorin, die sich vom Wallellook angetan zeigt, weil sie in ihrem Alter ohnehin keine Haut mehr zeige – wobei sie natürlich auch in jedem anderen Klamottenladen Hosen, Oberteile mit längeren Armen und längere Röcke findet. Und schon der Einstieg ist geradezu pervertiert verdreht, weil leichte Sommerkleidung negativ rüberkommt – weil sie ja, Allah bewahre, Blicke anziehen könne! Das erinnert schmerzlich an die 60er Jahre: zu kurzer Rock – selber schuld! All die Jahrzehnte des mühsamen Kampfes um Gleichberechtigung werden einfach weggewischt in diesem unsäglichen Beitrag. Viel Spaß übrigens mit „Modest Fashion“ (was für ein gruseliger Euphemismus) in der nächsten Woche bei Temperaturen bis zu 35 Grad!

Irish born centre back Roberto 'Pico' Lopes has spent his entire career in Ireland, ignored a LinkedIn message from Cape Verde FA asking him to play for them because it was in Portuguese. A year later, they sent it in English. He accepted and today became the first League of Ireland player to feature in the World Cup, and he kept a clean sheet against the favourites... A great world cup story 👏🏻

The second half should also be used to test alternatives on the right wing because, with all due respect to Leroy Sané, this cannot be the choice for the rest of the tournament. He has had virtually no positive actions, and you can clearly see that he is putting himself under a lot of pressure. Even though his profile is probably the best fit for the system, I think everyone would benefit from finding a different solution here. #GERCUW

Tolles Spiel am Ende, 7:1 schon sehr deutlich. Absolut positive Lichtblicke: Musiala, Undav, Nmecha, phasenweise Pavlovic, Kimmich und Havertz. Nur was der Bundestrainer in Leroy Sane sieht, das weiß er wohl nur selbst. #GERCUR

A way to see the amazing history of economic growth and declining poverty over the last two centuries.

Diese Verharmlosung des radikalen Islam wird den linken massiv auf die Füße fallen.

The US government, citing national security authorities, has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States, including foreign national Anthropic employees. The net effect of this order is that we must abruptly disable Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all our customers to ensure compliance. Access to all other Claude models is not affected. We apologize for this disruption to our customers. We believe this is a misunderstanding and are working to restore access as soon as possible. Read our full statement: anthropic.com/news/fable-myt…

Igor Levit hat nach dem 7. Oktober 90 Prozent seiner (linken) Freunde/sozialen Kontakte verloren. That tells a lot

Was an Es gibt nur EIN Rudi Völler hat Nick Woltemade eigentlich nicht verstanden

Die Bildungskrise in Deutschland ist wirtschaftlich (und sozial) gesehen mindestens genau so bedrohlich für unser Land wie die Energiekrise - Dennoch wird praktisch Null darüber gesprochen oder entsprechend gehandelt. Wahnsinn.

Brazil produces world-class footballers by the hundreds — but mostly because it's a giant. Strip out size and the real overachiever is tiny Uruguay: under 4 million people, more football greatness per capita than anywhere on Earth. The new issue of The Atlas is out: why is South America so exceptionally good at men’s football?

Delighted to tell you that Messy Jobs is coming out on June 21st. The kindle preorder link is available! Here are advance reviews/blurbs for you to ponder by @raffasadun @davidautor @patrickc @alexolegimas @bengtmit and Evan Guo. "Messy Jobs is a brilliant application of price theory. AI changes what is scarce in the economy and therefore what is valuable. When intelligence becomes cheap, judgment, coordination, trust, and responsibility become more valuable. The authors use this simple, powerful logic to illuminate how AI will reshape work and organizations." Bengt Holmström, Paul A. Samuelson Professor of Economics at MIT and recipient of the 2016 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences "In Messy Jobs, Garicano, Li, and Wu bring the discipline of organizational economics to a question too often left to speculation: How will AI actually reshape work? They move past the usual debates about what AI can or cannot do and ask the harder questions. What shapes the incentives to adopt it? How does adoption reshape the incentives to learn? What new configuration of skills will emerge as AI advances? A rigorous, original, and engaging account of how AI will reshape organizations and labor markets, and what it will take to thrive in them." - Raffaella Sadun, Charles Edward Wilson Professor of Business Administration, Harvard Business School "This is the first book in the AI era that recognizes that most of what organizations struggle with does not involve computational problems. People in messy jobs must hold coalitions together, adjudicate between competing interests, and make change stick. These are political, diplomatic, and interpersonal challenges. As a result, these types of messy jobs will persist well into our AI future. Garicano, Li, and Wu, are neither techno-utopian nor techno-dystopian. They take seriously what machines can do, what humans will do, and how jobs will be rebundled. The economics analysis is lucid and penetrating, and the book pinpoints where human agency will remain paramount. The book is hopeful and practical for anyone charting a career in the coming decade." - David Autor, Daniel (1972) and Gail Rubinfeld Professor, Google Technology and Society Visiting Fellow, Margaret MacVicar Faculty Fellow, MIT Department of Economics "This is simply a must-read book if you are interested in the future of work in the age of AI. For decades, Luis Garicano has been a leading voice in how organizations morph and change with new technology and innovation. Together with Jin Li and Yanhui Wu, they have written the definitive text on how AI will affect the labor market. The book is an impressive feat of combining academic rigor with clear explanations and concrete examples. I would recommend this book to anyone interested in learning about what comes next. "- Alex Imas, director of AGI Economics, Google DeepMind, and the Roger L. and Rachel M. Goetz Professor of Behavioral Science, Economics, and Applied AI, and Vasilou Faculty Scholar at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business "There is a lot of woolly thinking on the topic of AI and jobs. This excellent book contains by far the most thoughtful and economically literate account that has yet been written." - Patrick Collison, CEO, Stripe "AI is not going to lead to mass unemployment, and this is the best book to explain why not. It also illuminates how labor markets are likely to evolve. It is short, to the point, eminently readable, and of extreme relevance. ""- Tyler Cowen, professor of economics at George Mason University "This book isn't just some economist's armchair theorizing; it's a practical guide. I hope you get as much out of it as I did. "-- Evan Guo, CEO of Zhaopin Group, the largest career development platform in China amazon.com/Messy-Jobs-Work-C…

Today, the Stanford @DigEconLab launches the AI Economic Indicators, a new platform for tracking how AI is reshaping work, productivity, adoption, and the economy. 1/6

Here is the Oxford Football Forecasting! I've simulated the 2026 World Cup 1,100,000 times! I used 150 years of data, 50,000 matches, thousands of player records and run on machine learning Bayesian models. Spent 50 million @claudeai tokens for design :) fatih.ai/worldcup2026/

Finde es absoluten Wahnsinn, wie dieser ganze Epstein-Fall mehr oder weniger achselzuckend weltweit aufgenommen wird. Sind wir als Gesellschaft mittlerweile so kaputt, dass selbst solche Geschichten nicht mehr wirklich etwas auslösen?

"Consumers therefore bear much of the tax burden"

I've had access to Fable for a bit. A genuine jump in capability, I could feed it a 15 page design document for a project and it would work for 9 hours and deliver terrific results. But working with it is weird & weirder is coming Lots of examples: open.substack.com/pub/oneuse…

Deutsche Nationalisten, die sich über Osteuropäer hinweg mit Russland zusammentun wollen, gibt es nicht nur auf der Rechten