Joined April 2011
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26 Dec 2025
China is now a top-10 global innovator and spends over $500bn a year on R&D.
So much for “autocracies can’t innovate.”
How did we get this so wrong? Autocracy 2.0.
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Jun 11
Lots of talk about rebuilding America's defense industrial base. But how has the US mobilized industry for security competitions in the past? In his new book, Seth Jones examines what the historical record can teach us today. See our interview here: blueblaze.substack.com/p/set…
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Jun 7
Military competition requires defense mobilization, and @SethGJones says the US needs to ramp up. I talked with him on the Scouted podcast about his new book, The American Edge--which explores US defense mobilization, past and present.
blueblaze.substack.com/p/set…
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Jun 7
👀
A fascinating piece in what looks like a terrific issue
Grateful to have this out in @IntSecHarvard. @jessicacweiss and I show how Cold War analogies obscure more than they reveal about US-China relations. 1/6
ALT Title page of 'The Ideology Trap: China and the Limits of Cold War Analogies' by Eun A Jo and Jessica Chen Weiss
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Jennifer Lind retweeted
Why do nuclear dominoes not fall? The common wisdom holds that each new proliferator goads its rivals into following suit, but they rarely do. @the_nuclearyogi and I argue that this gap between expectation and reality cannot be explained by the cost of nuclear pursuit alone. 1/6
ALT Cover of International Security, Spring 2026, Vol. 50, No. 4
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Jun 3
He's got three words for the Democrats debating the future of U.S. foreign policy. Check out @JyShapiro's latest at Blue Blaze: blueblaze.substack.com/
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Jun 1
1/ Secretary Hegseth said many commendable things in his speech at Shangri-La Dialogue over the weekend. But his speech will be remembered mostly for its lack of self-awareness and for what he did not mention. Here is a brief reaction to it. (Short 🧵).
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Apr 27
Wow, Autocracy 2.0 is only $10 at Amazon - so much geopolitical drama, fascinating history, technology innovation, and Sino-American tension all for the price of a caffeinated beverage or two! Order yours now. amazon.com/Autocracy-2-0-Rei…
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Apr 27
Check out the rave reviews for Autocracy 2.0!
Daughter: “Great, mom! No, I haven’t read it.”
Son: “I don’t even read your Substack.”
Mom: “I’m…getting through it...”
Friend: “I told my dad to read it in hopes of distracting him from the crazy stuff he reads. He liked it!”
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Apr 15
folks in the DC area: come hear a talk about my book, Autocracy 2.0! I'm speaking next Tuesday at GWU @gwusigurcenter eventbrite.com/e/nbas-autocr…
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Apr 13
This is a terrific overview of China's amazing recent accomplishments in innovation.
Apr 10
JUST OUT! Over the past few decades, China’s high-tech drive has made enormous yet uneven progress, both in general and within specific industries. These advances have directly translated into enhanced international power and influence for China. Here's my quick analysis in 10 charts.
csis.org/analysis/chinas-hig…
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Mar 10
Fascinating to see the different directions people took with this question.
international-economy.com/TI… @jasonfurman @ceprdc's @DeanBaker13 @CFR's @ZongyuanZoeLiu @Dartmouth's @profLind #JimONeill @rhodium_group's #LoganWright @PIIE's #NickLardy #PaulCavey @UWMadison's #fuxianyi @PMCroninHudson @TheLBJSchool's #JamesKGalbraith @DerekScissors1 @atmantrivedi #China #US #Economic #competition
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Jennifer Lind retweeted
Feb 28
Disappointed and saddened by DOD decision to end decades of mutually beneficial collaboration between our nation's military officers & our civilian universities and think tanks. A loss for both communities with negative long-term implications for national security and civil-military relations.
Feb 28
Left: Canceled DoD fellowships (including Harvard, MIT, Johns Hopkins)
Right: “Potential” new DoD partner institutions (including Liberty U and Hillsdale). media.defense.gov/2026/Feb/2…
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Feb 20
How does the CCP balance the need for control and the need for a competitive, innovative economy?
Terrific piece by @ASPI_org's @wstv_lizzi and Jing Qian on how Beijing manages China's private sector foreignaffairs.com/china/chi…
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Feb 20
Oops wrong tag -- Lizzi and Jing are at @AsiaPolicy --I'm very grateful to their CCA for hosting me yesterday for a book talk for Autocracy 2.0!
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Feb 18
👀 don’t miss
Feb 18
America’s Pivot to Asia has failed.
That’s the argument I make in an essay out today in Foreign Affairs.
I know this will be controversial, so let me explain why I think we need to take this seriously and reimagine what comes next. A thread… (1/10)
foreignaffairs.com/united-st…
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Jennifer Lind retweeted
Feb 15
“Conventional wisdom has long held that China would never become a technological powerhouse,” writes @profLind. But the Chinese Communist Party has found ways to “foster innovation without loosening its hold on power.”
foreignaffairs.com/china/chi…
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Feb 10
“The United States cannot simply expect that China and its authoritarian regime will follow the Soviets into history’s dustbin,” writes @profLind. fam.ag/4rCYELJ
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Feb 10
Two decades ago, observers in the advanced liberal democracies said China could never catch up: the technological gulf was too vast and China's authoritarian institutions would obstruct innovation.
How did we get here? My essay in @ForeignAffairs
foreignaffairs.com/china/chi…
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Feb 9
Impressive election victory for Japan's PM Sanae Takaichi. If you're sick of Western headlines about the far-right, extremist, hawkish, right-wing ultraconservative PM and the fights she's picking with China, I repost this for you:
blueblaze.substack.com/p/a-h…
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Jan 31
Thanks, @EdwardGLuce for recommending @JyShapiro's recent "Thinker" column in Blue Blaze
ft.com/content/b2adbe08-990d…
This was Thinker VII - for Jeremy's prevous musings check out our archive at blueblaze.substack.com/
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