That’s not my argument.
I’m not saying every cancer trend since 2020 should be attributed to COVID or COVID vaccination. I’m saying the absence of a clean, population-wide “hockey stick” across all cancers is not evidence that there is no biologically meaningful signal.
Cancer is not one disease. It is hundreds of diseases with different etiologies, latency periods, tissue susceptibilities, immune dependencies, exposure histories, and host vulnerabilities. If a signal exists, it would likely appear unevenly — in particular cancer types, in particular populations, and against already-moving background trends.
The right question is not: “Did every cancer rise everywhere after 2020?” It is are there biologically plausible, cancer-type-specific, age-specific, sex-specific, or immune-related patterns that warrant closer investigation?
And in the Norway data for several cancers — including pancreatic, stomach, NHL, and leukemia in women — I don’t think the trends look reassuring. Some predate COVID, which makes them no less important. It may point to broader environmental, infectious exposures or immune-related pressures that we should be studying more carefully, not dismissing as “good news.”
And for the US under 50 data - those trends look even more worrisome.
It's good news if you had falsely believed COVID vaccines (or COVID) led to measurable replicated rises in cancer worldwide outside of pre-existing trends.
You can always cherry-pick individual cancers that went up or down in individual countries but do we see one measurable signal? No.
Using your reasoning cervical cancer went DOWN in women since 2020 in Norway after a trend up before the pandemic. Do you credit the vaccine?